TITANS +7 AT RAMS 52.5
DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE
TITANS VS PASS 14 // VS RUSH 28 // PASS 18 // RUSH 9
RAMS VS PASS 8 // VS RUSH 18 // PASS 1 // RUSH 10
Source - Footballoutsiders.com
MATCHUPS FOR SHOWDOWN
Titans Injury Report — Derrick Henry (OUT), AJ Brown (Questionable)
Player snap & target share —
- Adrian Peterson (RB), *tough to think he’ll get lead back duties this week
- Jeremy McNichols (RB), *Assuming he’ll get the majority of the RB workload
- AJ Brown (WR), 88% snaps (wk8), 11 projected targets
- Julio Jones (WR), 60% snaps (avg), 8 projected targets
- Marcus Johnson (WR), 55% snaps (avg), 3.5 projected targets
- Geoff Swaim (TE), 82% snaps (wk8), 2 projected targets
- Anthony Firkser (TE), 38% snaps (avg), 4 projected targets
*RA = Rush Attempts, PA = Pass Attempts, AY = Air Yards, DA = Deep Attempts , RZ = Red Zone Passes
Rams Injury Report — Robert Woods (Questionable, but the expectation is he’ll play)
Player snap & target share —
- Darrell Henderson (RB), 80% snaps, 16 RA/gm, 3 projected targets
- Sony Michel (RB), 25% snaps, 8 RA/gm, 1.5 projected targets
- Cooper Kupp (WR), 92% snaps, 13.5 projected targets
- Robert Woods (WR), 92% snaps, 9.5 projected targets
- Van Jefferson (WR), 80% snaps, 6 projected targets
- Tyler Higbee (TE), 90% snaps, 5 projected targets
*RA = Rush Attempts, PA = Pass Attempts, AY = Air Yards, DA = Deep Attempts , RZ = Red Zone
SHOWDOWN STRATEGY
Titans will be without Derrick Henry and face a tough test against a very good Rams defense. Without Henry in the backfield, it will make matters tough on Tannehill as the Rams won’t be forced to stack the box. Much like the game on Thursday night (Colts/Jets), this game has ‘Ram’s onslaught’ written all over it. The other nice thing about the Rams pieces is their target share has been fairly predictable all season.
I’ll be building Rams heavy lineups where I only have one or two pieces from the Titans side. I want 100% exposure too Cooper Kupp and Matthew Stafford. Both are expensive but I think the key will be one of these really cheap punt plays on the Titans side to make it work (Chester Rogers, D’Onta Foreman, Marcus Johnson, Anthony Firkser, MyCole Pruitt, etc)
CAPTAIN PLAYS
- Cooper Kupp, 18.6K — The guy is a machine each and every week, a top CPT play tonight
- Robert Woods, 12.9K — A nice pivot off a chalkier Kupp
- Matt Stafford, 19.2K — Prefer a playmaker at the CPT spot but Stafford could work, you’ll need some punt values
FLEX PLAYS
- QB’S — Matt Stafford, Ryan Tannehill
- RB’S — Darrel Henderson, Sony Michel, Jeremy McNichols, Adrian Peterson, D’Onta Foreman
- WR’S — Cooper Kupp, Robert Woods, Van Jefferson, AJ Brown, Julio Jones, Chester Rogers, Marcus Johnson
- TE’S — Tyler Higbee, Geoff Swaim, Anthony Firkser
- DEF — Fading both
- Kickers — Matt Gay, Randy Bullock
AP’S CORE BUILDS
- Cooper Kupp CPT + Matt Stafford + Anthony Firkser — 5.7K / Player
- Cooper Kupp CPT + Matt Stafford + Marcus Johnson — 5.9K / Player
- Cooper Kupp CPT + Matt Stafford + Chester Rogers — 5.6K / Player
- Cooper Kupp CPT + Matt Stafford + Adrian Peterson — 5.2K / Player
