TITANS AT JAGUARS, NFL WEEK #5

October 7, 2021
By: Terry Niehaus

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Tennessee Titans -4 @ Jacksonville Jaguars 48.5

DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE

TITANS VS PASS 25 // VS RUSH 24 // PASS 25 // RUSH 19 // OVERALL 27

JAGUARS VS PASS 32 // VS RUSH 14 // PASS 30 // RUSH 3 // OVERALL 31

SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com

MATCHUP SUMMARY

The Tennessee Titans (2-2) will look to rebound after their disappointing 27-24 overtime loss last week in New York to the Jets. The Titans, playing without their top two receivers in AJ Brown and Julio Jones, were led by the “Big Dog” Derrick Henry who rushed a season-high 33 times for 157 yards and one touchdown. The Titans should be able to move the ball this week even if Brown and Jones were to sit another game. AJ Brown did practice on Wednesday on a limited basis. The Jags have allowed 418 yards and 29 points per game. Henry should get another 25-30 carries here and would be a hard fade this week due to his massive upside in this matchup.

Despite their 0-4 record, the Jacksonville Jaguars looked better last week in their 24-21 loss in Cincinnati. They led 14-0 at halftime before the Bengals rallied in the second half to get the win. Rookie Trevor Lawrence was efficient throwing for 204 yards and had a rushing touchdown. James Robinson had 78 yards on the ground and two touchdowns. With DJ Chark likely out for the season, Marvin Jones and Laviska Shenault should get even more targets going forward. You can easily pair one or both of these guys with Lawrence i n a game stack.

THE DFS GEMS

Derrick Henry, TEN – $9,000 on DraftKings. This has all the makings of a Derrick Henry week. He has topped 100+ yards in three straight games and with the wide receiver situation (Jones and Brown) up in the air again this week the Titans feed him early and often and he crushes this week.

Trevor Lawrence, JAC – $5,800 on DraftKings. Jets rookie Zach Wilson threw for 297 and two touchdowns against this Titans defense last week. If this game gets into an up and down shootout kind of a game which I think it “could” there is no reason to think Lawrence can’t have the same success here.

Laviska Shenault, JAC – $4,800 on DraftKings. With the injury to DJ Chark, we should see even more targets and production from Shenault and Marvin Jones. These pieces can provide a cheap value stack with big upside to pair with Lawrence.

Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS