Seahawks (19.5) AT Cowboys (28.5)
Geno enters this tough road game with a fair price tag of 9.2K. While this price tag is on the lower end for QBs looking at the matchup and how he has played this year I am leaning on being underweight on him here. Smith would only be a Flex option at best for me vs this tough Cowboys defense on a short week. Geno is averaging 10.7 DK points in his last 4 road games and took 6 sacks last week vs the 49ers. Geno has a pass/rush prop of 243.5 yards.
Dak has played his best football at home this year and gets a good matchup vs a Hawks defense allowing 27.7 pts the last 4 games. Prescott is priced at 11K flat for tonight and has put up 30+ DK points in his last 3 home games. In four of the last five games, Dak has hit the 300-yard passing bonus as well. I will be looking to get overweight on Dak in both the Captain and Flex positions. Dak has a rush/pass prop of 301.5 yards.
Zach Charbonnet 6.8K looks to get another start as Walker remains out. Charb has been very active in the passing game catching at least 4 passes in the last 3 games. DeeJay Dallas only played on 7 of 56 snaps last week vs the 49 Zach did, and I think we see Pete lean on Charb once again this week. DeeJay is fine for a Flex punt at 1.2K but I will be looking to get overweight on Charb in the Flex position. Rush/rec prop for Zach is 71.5 yards and is +120 to score a touchdown.
Tony Pollard 9.8K is back and we must decide how to deploy him on this showdown slate. He has scored in back-to-back games and comes off his best game of the season scoring 22 DK points vs Washington on Thanksgiving. We should expect around 12-15 carries for him and 4-7 targets in the passing game. Pollard has averaged 5+ yards per carry the last 2 weeks, which he hasn’t done since week 3. Rico Dowdle’s 4.2K continues to eat into Pollard’s usage and we should see him play on 15-22 snaps and potentially later in the game if Dallas gets up big. Rico caught a touchdown pass last week and would be a Flex option I look to be around field average on. Pollard has a rush/rec prop of 88.5 yards and Rico has a prop of 26.5 yards. Tony is the favorite to score in this game at -160 with Rico at +215.
DK Metcalf is the highest-priced Seahawk on the slate at 9.6K with Tyler Lockett at 7.2K and JSN at 5.2K. I find it hard to click the 9.6K tag for DK when he has struggled to show much of a ceiling this season as his best game has been 20 DK points. We do need to project him for around 7-10 targets but last week he only caught 3 of 9 for 32 yards. I will be underprojecting him and just see if he hits many teams in the Sims. Lockett has a fair price tag at 7.2K and I would much rather go to him vs DK. I think you could sprinkle a little of Lockett in the Captain for large field GPPs but is more of a Flex option. I will project him for around 12 points and see where he lands at. I love the upside that JSN has and at 5.2K is my favorite Seattle option on the slate. Seattle should be down all game and forced to throw more. Njigba has 40+ yards in 6 of his last 7 games and is a good bet to pay off his mid-range price tag. Receiving props – Metcalf 59.5, Lockett 48.5, and JSN 43.5 yards. Metcalf is +195, Lockett +220, and JSN +280 to score a touchdown.
CeeDee Lamb priced at a slate high 11.4K comes off back-to-back “down” games of 53 and 38 yards. Lamb has found the endzone in his last 3 games but the streak of 150+ yards ended. This is a great bounce-back smash spot for Lamb here at home where we have seen him put up 40+ DK points in 2 of his last 3 home games. Seattle has given up some big games through the air this season and I think we see Lamb go for 100+ and 2 scores. I want to be overweight on Lamb in both the Captain and Flex spots. Brandin Cooks was in my core for Turkey Day and found the endzone for the 4th time in the last 6 games catching 4 passes for 72 yards. Cooks has found the endzone in his last 3 home games and is a guy I will sprinkle in the Captain and look to get overweight in the Flex at 8K. I will continue to be underweight on Michael Gallup but will leave him in the Flex pool to see where he hits in the Sims. Tolbert at 3K flat is a value I will be high on in the Flex spot. He has caught 2+ passes in 4 straight games and should be on the field for 25-35 snaps. Turpin at 2.6K is another value option I want exposure to. Receiving props – Lamb 85.5, Cooks 41.5, Gallup 15.5, Tolbert 20.5, and Turpin 9.5 yards. Lamb is -145 to score and Cooks is +200.
The tight end position for Seattle has been very weak this season. Fant is 3.2K and is yet to score double-digit fantasy points but should catch a couple of passes in this game and is fine for a Flex GPP option. Parkinson is at best a punt GPP option at $800. Fant has a receiving prop of 12.5 yards.
Jake Ferguson 6.2K is seeing a lot of action in the first touchdown market at +950. Jake gets a slight discount vs the 6.6K he was vs Washington. Jake should see around 4-7 targets in this game and makes for a solid Flex option. I will project him for around 10.5 DK points and see where he hits at. Ferguson has a prop of 35.5 yards and is +170 to score a touchdown.
The scoring prop on the Cowboys D/ST is +300 which is the same as Dak. DraftKings priced them up to 5.6K but they should be in the 6K range in my opinion. Dallas has scored 15+ DK points in 6 games this season and should fest on Geno traveling on a short week. Geno took 6 sacks last week and I would project him to be sacked 5-7 times again here. I will be overweight on Dallas in the Flex and even sprinkle them in the Captain spot. I will fade Seattle’s defense and be on both kickers in the 4K range for the Flex.
SNYDER MAIN CORE
CeeDee Lamb (CAPT) + Dak Prescott + Jaxon Smith-Njigba 5.5K left per position