THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL SHOWDOWN: JETS AT BROWNS

Jets (12.5) AT Browns (20.5)

QB

Trevor Siemian’s 8.8K has a cheap tag for a QB but will be facing one of the toughest defenses in the league tonight. Miles Garrett will be causing problems for him most of the night as this Browns defense has been ELITE at home this year. Trevor has thrown 1 TD to 3 INTs this season. I will be underweight on him tonight as he was only able to score 12 DK points last week vs one of the worst defenses in the league. Siemian has a passing prop of 177.5 yards tonight and it is juiced to the under.

Joe Flacco has this Browns team rolling. Flacco 10.6K has thrown for 300+ yards the last 3 games and comes off a 29 DK point outing vs the Texans last week. Joe hasn’t been perfect throwing 7 INTs to 10 TDs but he for sure isn’t afraid to push the ball downfield. I will be looking to deploy him in the Flex-only position tonight vs a tough Jets pass defense. Flacco has a 232.5-yard passing prop.

RB

Breece Hall’s 11K flat is the best chance for the Jets to move the ball tonight vs this Browns defense. Hall comes off a monster workload last week rushing 20 times for 95 yards and he added in 12 catches for 96 yards. Hall had a couple of rushing TDs as well as he totaled 43 DK points. Hall will be the only Jets player I have an interest in the Captain position. I will be around the field with him in the Captain spot based on his upside. Hall has a rush/rec prop of 81.5 yards and is +177 to score a TD.

Jerome Ford 8.4K and Kareem Hunt 5.2K will carry the load for the Browns on the ground tonight. Ford and Hunt have been splitting snaps close to even. The game script does set up well for Ford tonight but the price tag seems a little high for me. Ford is seeing some work in the passing game but has been under 3 yards per carry in 3 of the last 4 games. Hunt has 12 carries inside the RedZone in the last 3 weeks and is a solid upside Flex target. Ford has a 64.5 rush/rec prop and Hunt has a 35.5-yard prop. Ford is the slate favorite to score at +131 with Hunt at +185.

WR

Garrett Wilson is an elite talent but will be handcuffed to a degree by Siemian. Wilson should see double-digit targets in this game but last game he only totaled 76 yards off 15 targets. Wilson can take a slant to the house and should be in play for the Captain spot based on his upside. Wilson should be around 6-9% in the Captain tonight and I will be in that range as well but overweight in the Flex. If I had to play another Jets WR I would go with Xavier Gipson at 3.2K for a Flex option. Wilson has a prop of 50.5 yards and Gipson is at 18.5 yards.

Amari Cooper’s 11.2K comes off a monster game where he set the Browns record last week. Flacco has been pushing the ball his way the last 3 weeks as he has 37 targets and put up 265 and 2 last week. Cooper will be a guy I still want as the Captain even with the tough matchup vs this great Jets pass defense. Elijah Moore at 6.6K is a great showdown GPP upside target and I will have a sprinkle in the Captain spot as he should be 1-3% owned there. It wouldn’t surprise me to see the Jets try and take Cooper out by shading coverage toward him and leaving Moore with a softer matchup. Cedric Tillman 3K is my favorite value option on the slate. He showed huge upside in college and could be the guy the Jets forget about. I will be well overweight on the field tonight. Cooper has a receiving prop of 53.5, Moore 32.5, and Tillman 22.5 yards.

TE

Tyler Conklin’s 5K flat continues to see around 7 targets per game. The Browns have been vulnerable to the tight end position the last 3 weeks allowing 13+ DK points. Conklin will be one of my higher-owned Jet players tonight and I think we see him get around 7-12 points tonight like he has been.

David Njoku 7.8K has been in my pool and main teams often the past few weeks. Flacco has loved to target Njoku between the 20s and in the RedZone making him a great Captain option. I will be overweight on Njoku in both the Captain and Flex spots tonight. The Jets haven’t been that good vs TEs this season as well making Njoku one of my favorite options tonight. Njoku has a 52.5-yard prop tonight just 1 yard behind Cooper at a nice discount. Njoku is +185 to end up in the endzone tonight.

DEF/K

Both defenses are great options tonight but are priced up with the Browns at 5.6K and Jets at 4K. I think the Brown’s defense is fine for the Captain spot but will see ownership at around 10%. I would rather just play the Jets in the flex. The kickers are fine for the flex-only spot and I will be around 15-25% on them.

SNYDER MAIN CORE

David Njoku CAPT + Joe Flacco + Cedric Tillman 8.2K left per position

OTHER GREAT ARTICLES

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *