Thursday Night Football Best Bets – Week 13

Buffalo Bills @ New England Patriots

The New England Patriots are a game out of the Jets for the final playoff slot. Mandatory Credit: Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

The Bills take on the Patriots for the first time this season on Thursday Night Football.

The Patriots are playing on Thursday night for the second week in a row. New England was severed a devesting L by the Minnesota Vikings on Thanksgiving last week, and they will try to rebound this week against the division-leading Bills.

While the Bills have passed the Patriots as the perennial team in the AFC East, it’s an exciting matchup whenever these teams meet.

New England is trying to keep their playoff hopes alive, and not only would a win go a long way, but defeating Buffalo may give this team the confidence boost they very much need.

We all know Belichick will throw everything he has at this team. The Patriots will shut down Diggs and the long ball, and they will make Buffalo resort to alternative methods.

Stefon Diggs Under 68.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

The one area bettors can count on Josh Allen to still excel at is scrambling. Quarterbacks that can run have been the Patriots’ kryptonite for a very long time. 

Allen’s rushing numbers are off the charts. He’s recorded 49+ rushing yards in four of his last five games, and he’s averaged 61 yards in that stretch. Additionally, he averages 37 rushing yards against the Patriots, with his totals climbing as his career progresses.

Josh Allen Over 45.5 Rushing Yards (-110)
Josh Allen has 561 rushing yards on the year. Mandatory Credit: Kirthmon F. Dozier / USA TODAY NETWORK

It’s going to be a hard-fought battle, and while the under feels like an auto bet on Thursday Night Football, it’s truly a smart bet here. Bettors never know what they will see with Mac Jones, and Belichick will keep Buffalo’s offense in check.

Under 43.5 Points (-110)

While I don’t have the same confidence in the Patriots as our darling Factsman, the Patriots to cover is a solid bet. They may win this game outright, but Belichick should pick up the win at the spread.

New England +4 (-110)

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