Two really tight matches on the dock and we get an England vs Germany matchup with both sides not showing a ton of promise in the group stage, England more so from an attacking standpoint, while Germany has been relatively weak for over a year now, but this match will be amazing and both teams to score looks likely. I like Ukraine here as well against Sweden and think that match will be a bit cagey, quite the opposite of yesterday’s matches sadly.
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England (+150) vs Germany (+190)
Both Teams To Score: -125
Probable Set Piece Takers: Luke Shaw, Kalvin Phillips, Kieran Trippier (ENGLAND) / Tonni Kroos, Joshua Kimmich (GERMANY)
Sweden (+130) vs Ukraine (+220)
Both Teams To Score: +100
Probable Set Piece Takers: Emil Forsberg, Seb Larsson (SWEDEN) / Rusian Malinovskiy (UKRAINE)
This slate has a weird approach to it as both games have reason to be open, but also the timidness of the managers in charge specifically England and Sweden could see these games slowed down a bit and robbing us of a potentially open match that we saw in both games yesterday where it was one of the most fun days of the Euros I can remember.
We have a few things we can look at here with England likely going to a back 3 against Germany which will be a change than what they have originally gone with to start the tournament, Gareth Southgate’s side has been troublesome all tournament in the attack so keeping the same force up top and in the midfield makes perfect sense! You wonder in a back 3 with Luke Shaw and Kieran Trippier being the fullbacks whether they will get full reign to move forward and cross balls into the box as we have not seen for quite some time with England. I am thinking they will be a little more attacking because of this, but the prices on them are still kind of high to where it’s not a complete slam dunk. Kalvin Phillips took a couple sets against Czech Republic and is under 4K, nice relief in a midfield spot if you need it for your lineup. Harry Kane hasn’t had much service all tournament thanks to the pragmatic playstyle of Southate and the lack of creativity from the wing, however though I think this a prime spot to play him as he will go undrowned for a two game slate and Germany hasn’t been able to defend anyone themselves.
On the German side of the ball, we get Joshua Kimmich and Toni Kroos who are 6K and 7.3K on DraftKings and both are very strong plays. KImmich worked in the middle of the park most of the second half but still goot on the outside to the right to send crosses in, while Kroos continued to take most of the set pieces and provide a stout floor. Leon Goretzka should start for Ilkay Gundogan tonight which will be a massive boost to the Germany side that has lacked in the midfield at times these Euros. Robin Gosens looked shaky at best for the most part against Hungary but does get into the box often even as a defender on DraftKings, you won’t be playing him for his floor. Out of their front three, Thomas Muller stands out the most, he can on and Germany looked a bit sharper and we most likely know he’d go the distance in a close match as well.
This Ukraine – Sweden match I want to be open so bad, but worried we could see a pragmatic match unfold here. 1-1 thought is a likely scoreline and would mean an extra 30 minutes of footy and there is some great players here. Alexander Isak has been the striking threat for Sweden and while he has yet to score through his three starts, he has looked really good and assisted the opener in their last match. I like the price on him as well as his counterpart Roman Yaremchuk, who has been clinical and put away the chances that he has gotten. He’s been a great player for Ukraine and if they score would not be surprising to see him involved. Rusian Malinovskiy was subbed off at halftime in their last match, but if getting a full runout takes the set pieces and will have a great floor here in this one and would get there without much worry. Andriy Yarmolenko has been their best player and looking healthy and making a consistent contribution to each match. One of those things where if he or Yarmenchuk score the opener and Ukraine controls the game until it opens up late, could pay dividends similar to how we saw Schick pay dirt ina way, the losing team will be stretched on more than one occasion late. If Ukraine is losing, Yarmolenko has a fine floor and in the midst of chasin the match should get there, so these guys I’m high on because either script really suits them. Oleksandr Zinchenko priced at 4.5 in the defender spot catches my eye as well.
Continuing on with the match, Ludwig Augustinsson in a trailing script at 5.3K on DraftKings would have a very good floor. Emil Forsberg has been the most clinical in front of net for the Swedes and takes penalties, price has gotten high though and looking elsewhere for my studs. Have a pair of plays with Robin Quaison who is more tournament oriented and likely not to play the whole match playing alongside Isak. While Seb Larsson at a price on DK after having 16 crosses the past two games. I think he’ll be fine for either format and did almost assist Augustinsson in their second match.
Good luck everyone!