Some days you just are completely wrong and have to shake it off and move right on, that is me right now. I stacked the Germany-France match for goals galore and walk away empty handed. Not a great feeling but the ups and downs of DFS never are a smooth ride and today we get an amazing 3 game slate with one of my favorite teams to stack with Russia, why waste any time, let’s dive in! There is still time to sign up using promo code: EUROS25 for 25% off your subscription and access to EVERY DFS sport’s content on the site and in the discord.
MATCHES
Finland (+550) vs Russia (-175)
Both Teams To Score: +140
Probable Set Piece Takers: Robin Lod (FINLAND) / Aleksandr Golovin (RUSSIA)
Turkey (+160) vs Wales (+200)
Both Teams To Score: +110
Probable Set Piece Takers: Cengiz Under, Hakan Calhanoglu (TURKEY) / Daniel James, Aaron Ramsey (WALES)
Italy (-175) vs Switzerland (+550)
Both Teams To Score: +110
Probable Set Piece Takers: Lorenzo Insigne, Domenico Berardi (ITALY) / Ricardo Rodriguez, Xherdan Shaqiri (SWITZERLAND)
I hope this first match between Russia and Finland possibly goes under-owned. I love the idea of getting to play Artem Dzyuba and Aleksandr Golovin together with a splash of other Russians to mix things up. Golovin provides one of the best floors on the slate, while Dzyuba boasts one of the best odds to score on the slate as well and this is a spot for Russia to mash. Denmark dominated Finland last time out with 70% possession and 22 shots, but still lost. I think Russia won’t put that much pressire, but still expect them to score multiple goals and kick things off right for us. I will have my fair share of the Russian secondary plays as well and even be heavily on the keeper as well with the best odds to keep a clean sheet stemming from this matchup.
Turkey looked stagnant against Italy, but now they are slight favorites against a Welsh side that persevered against Switzerland and took home a draw. Turkey has plenty of upside and could see deflated ownership after such a disappointing first match. I think the odds are a bit disrespectful to Turkey and think they come out strong looking to grab all three points here and will have great interest and Cengiz Under, Hakan Calhanoglu, and Buruk Yilmaz to take effect and cause problems for the Welsh side and the share of sets between Under and Hakan will be fine. Yilmaz carries great goalscoring odds and like him for tournaments here. We also have an underpriced fullback with Zeki Celik below 4K and will be a popular option for quite a few people with a decent floor and pushes forward. Kieffer Moore doesn’t interest me really at all, for Wales it’s more the same, Gareth Bale for tournaments, Daniel James still a cash game piece at the tag and really not thrilled with much else.
Italy dominated last time out and think they will try and put these games to sleep early like we saw against Turkey. Lorenzo Insigne just jumped off the page last match and was clinical and will be extremely popular again. I’m more on Insigne than I am Ciro Immobile or Domencio Berardi, both are fine just the floors are slightly worse and Berardi has a better chance of being subbed out early than Insigne while Immobile’s floor is a few points lower. I won’t have a ton of interest in the midfield spots for Italy outside a stray share of them if stacking Italy. Jorginho takes penalties and will be a good option for tournaments. Manuel Locatelli and Nicolo Barrela both got forward with shots last match and are fine too. For Switzerland Ricardo Rodriguez is still the defender in cash games. 10 crosses last match most coming off set pieces and they led the entirety of the second half as well. I like Ricardo more than anyone else on the Swiss side though and won’t have that many shares of the attack with Italy’s defense being fairly strong.
