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Texans +17 @ Cowboys Total 44.5
DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE
Texans VS PASS 19th // VS RUSH 28th // PASS 32nd // RUSH 31st // OVERALL 32nd
Cowboys VS PASS 1st // VS RUSH 8th // PASS 15th // RUSH 3rd // OVERALL 2nd
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This game is about as lopsided as one gets. The spread is the biggest of the year for any game. The Texans are playing for nothing more than pride. Their saving grace is they have stayed somewhat competitive. Their biggest loss is by 18 points but most recently their losses have been by 8-13 points. For the Cowboys the biggest mission minus the obvious win is to end this game healthy. Dallas has won 3 in a row and five of six. While many had been targeting the 49’ers as the team to beat in the NFC, it might now become Dallas.
Not going to sugar coat it, I only have interest in one Texan and that interest is minimal. I can’t get behind Dameon Pierce even with his uptick in production last week. The prior two games Houston fell behind quickly and his action was limited. I Expect the same this game. Kyle Allen should face plenty of pressure but should also see plenty of opportunities. If taking a shot on the Texan side it would be with Nico Collins, especially if Cooks remains out. The price keeps him playable along with the targets he is receiving. Perhaps he finds the end zone and puts together a 15-20 point fantasy game.
Dallas has plenty of weapons and who to attack with is the question. I don’t see this as a game we’re Dak Prescott has huge upside. With the game most likely not staying competitive in the 3rd and 4th quarter his passing opportunities will take a hit. This will also keep me off the wideouts for the Cowboys. The two popular selections should be Tony Pollard and Zeke Elliott. Pollard is my favorite as he has gone 24+ points in four of his last five. Zeke has been steady and should continue that role in this game. My one concern with Zeke is do they limit his 2nd half touches in fear of injury if the game doesn’t stay close.
THE DFS GEMS
Nico Collins, Texans-$4,400 More of a cash play than GPP for me. Don’t be surprised if he is popular. This Dallas defense is tough and they could completely shut him down.
Tony Pollard, Cowboys-$6,700 Obvious cash play and high owned in GPP. Could his upside be capped with an early lead. Could Zeke steal the touchdowns. I feel the floor is safe, it’s the ceiling that’s the question.
Dallas Cowboys, $3,800 Do you think they will be popular after last weeks Texans debacle? On top of that they have surpassed 20 points three times already. Yes in cash, pass in GPP. Defense is so random, sure Dallas could shut Houston down but if they don’t find the end zone they won’t be the ceiling defensive team.
Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS
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