Tampa Bay Buccaneers AT New York Jets, NFL Week 17

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers -13 @ New York Jets 45.5

DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE

Buccaneers VS PASS 4 // VS RUSH 11 // PASS 1 // RUSH 3 // OVERALL 1

Jets VS PASS 32 // VS RUSH 29 // PASS 27 // RUSH 13 // OVERALL 26

SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com

 

MATCHUP SUMMARY

Tampa bounced back last week after losing 9-0 to the Saints by beating the Panthers 32-6. Tampa has now won 5 of their last 6 games and has 2 easy games left facing the Jets and Carolina to end the season. Tampa is in a 3-way tie 1 game back of the #1 seed and must win out for any chance of the 1 seed. Tampa has a slate high 29.5 implied team total and should take on ownership this week. Antonio Brown is near a couple of season bonuses, and I expect Brady to pepper him with targets. Brown is priced up to $6,100 this week off a 15 target, 10 catch game. AB looks to be one of the highest owned receivers this week. Without Fournette last week Ronald Jones still only played 35 of 64 snaps. Ke’Shawn Vaughn has been incorporated into the offense more the last 2 games and should split work with Jones here. Gronk has only caught 3 total passes in the last 2 games and with a price tag of $6,200 he is best suited for GPPs in Brady doubles. Cameron Brate priced under 3K is viable for GPPs as well.

The Jets enter this game with a low 16-point implied team total. The Jets got their 4th win of the season last week defeating the Jaguars 26-21. Michael Carter rushed for 118 yards off 16 carries and was 1 yard shy of a late touchdown. Carter also saw 3 targets in the passing game, and I think the Jets will feature him more in the passing game vs this tough front 7 of Tampa. Braxton Berrios remains priced under 4K and off a 5-catch outing. The Jets should be down most of this game and forced to pass. The only Jets I would consider in this game would be Carter or Berrios. Carter should be lower owned once again around the 5-8% mark.

 

 

THE DFS GEMS

Tom Brady, TB – $7,600 on DraftKings. Brady should have his way with this Jets defense and pass for at least 2 touchdowns.

Antonio Brown, TB – $6,100 on DraftKings. Brown is underpriced for his role here and projects as one of the best plays on the slate.

Michael Carter, NYJ – $5,100 on DraftKings. I like Carter for GPPs this week and should come in low owned with nice passing game upside.

 

Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS 

Article produced by SNYDER  

 

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