Tabor’s Takes MLB Breakdown – 05/23/23

I’m the new guy here to bring you some winners. I think it’s important to understand my style of play as you read along. I do not multi enter, I borderline refuse to do it, and I honestly blame my love for these sports as the reason behind it. Every night my ass is glued to the couch watching my 2 stacks and pitcher(s) and cursing at the television. I wouldn’t want it any other way , and I couldn’t imagine having 150 variations of those stacks to root for. 1 lineup, high stakes, that’s how we roll.

This article won’t just give you a couple names to plug in to your lineup. I look for conviction in these plays and I share not just what I like, but why I like it. You can expect 2-3 core pitchers with a write up, then a few honorable mentions that almost made the cut. Same goes for my top stacks. I’ll also leave notes for some key fades and one offs that are standing out to me as well. Let’s dive in!


Pitching Core


Sonny Gray- Since joining the Twins Gray has been a dominant pitcher at home. A 10.4 k/9 and 1.135 whip are as good as it’s going to get in what is now a really good sample size to go off of. If you look at his game log this year you’ll see much of the same. Dominance at home, with occasional hiccups on his road starts. The Giants definitely bring some swing and miss to the party with a team k rate of 24.5% in this projected lineup and that’s enough for me to jump back on the Sonny Gray train here. He’s probably my favorite arm on what is a loaded pitching slate.

Spencer Strider- I like that I’m seeing ownership capped for once on Strider. I think we have seen 70% plus for this guy in every outing this year depending on your tournament choice. He’s coming off of his worst start and now the Dodgers are in town so naturally the ownership is going to come down and I think this makes him a really good play. I think of it this way, the list of players on this slate that give you 40 point upside on Draftkings today starts and ends with Spencer Strider. This Dodgers team strikes out plenty, and I always love Strider at his home park in Atlanta. Fire him up and don’t worry about the one bad start.


Other Options

Eury Perez- I’m a huge believer in this kid. He’s pitching in Coors today and they haven’t been letting him stretch long into games. On the other hand he throws a lot of sliders to righties, which is the pitch least affected by the Coors altitude and this Rockies lineup is atrocious. Basically if they the Rockies have a bunch of righties in the lineup I’m going to add Perez to my core. If he’s seeing 5+ lefties then I’m off of it.

Brayan Bello- Another young arm that I’m a believer in. I think his price tag here is just criminal. Pitching anywhere but Fenway is a huge upgrade and although the Angels do pack a punch they also like to swing and miss. $6,300 on this slate could be all it takes to get different.


Stack Em


Marlins- An obvious choice in Coors, but I typically like picking on the Marlins with RHP because they are so right handed. Against a leftie this team will be loaded with righties though and Gomber isn’t bringing enough strikeout potential to keep me off of this Marlins team. I’ll have at least 3 and I’ll be starting my builds with Jorge Soler and Garrett Cooper.

Brewers- JP France has a small sample size, but in that he’s getting absolutely blasted by righties. I want all of the Willy Adames and William Contreras at catcher here. I’m ok with Brian Anderson as well and you can’t really go wrong with a Tellez or Yelich but I definitely want to focus on righties snd the fact Adames and Contreras fill my catcher and SS positions makes it much more appealing.

Braves- This Braves lineup is in play every single day. Specially when a team makes the dumb decision of giving a rookie the ball against them for his first big league appearance. I’ve never understood that, like oh here is one of our top prospects that we hope can be the next Clayton Kershaw for this organization, let’s bring him up, kill his confidence, and let him get smacked around by Ronald Acuna Jr. and the gang. Dude is gonna have nightmares for the next month if this Braves lineup does what they have been doing to everybody else. I feel confident they keep the train rolling here. Bobby Miller hasn’t been that sharp in AAA this year so now is the time to attack. Overall I do think this kid will be good, I just think this is a very tough spot to make a debut.


Other Stacks

Red Sox- I wanted to be a Griffin Canning believer but I think I’m over it. He’s given up a HR in all but 1 game this year, he’s walking people, he can’t strikeout lefties and today he gets Rafael Devers, Yoshida, Verdugo, Casas and honestly this list goes on. I love this as a low owned place to attack on this slate.


Key Fades 

Mariners- I think the Mariners total is too high here and it’s going to give them more ownership than they deserve. They honestly haven’t been that good offensively to warrant the 2nd highest total on the slate even if they get the Athletics. I’m ok with picking some power bats here, maybe Kelenic and Julio as a two man, but they rely on the homerun too much to full stack for me today.


Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *