Another incredible slate of games ahead of us in Week 3. 7 divisional games are taking place, which always adds a layer of intrigue.
The Broncos sneaked out a victory against the Texans last week to bring us to week 3. It may not have been as much of a waste as I’d initially thought, as Denver does not appear to be the powerhouse many thought they would be entering the season.
As unpredictable as games against division rivals can be, I don’t love having to pick one, but given the board, I do believe it’s the smartest move.
My Pick (1-1) – Baltimore Ravens (-145)
Baltimore continues their tour of the AFC East as they head to New England after a hard-fought battle in Miami. This game has a strange spread, and it’s set as if Vegas only watched the second half of the Raven’s Week 2 game.
The Ravens have an incredible offense, and the Patriots have only scored 23 points this season. While Week 2 showed Baltimore’s defense might need some work, New England doesn’t have the firepower to keep up with Lamar Jackson.
Week 1 and Week 2 featured the perfect matchups to prepare bettors for this game. Both teams have played the Miami Dolphins, and the Ravens kept pace with them while the Patriots were blown out. So there is no reason to overthink this one; it’s defiantly the lock of the week.
Alternative Pick (0-1) – Minnesota Vikings (-260)
The Bengals were My Pick in Week 1 and my Alternative Pick in Week 2. If you haven’t picked them yet in your league, they seem like the easy play this week, great bounce back spot against the Jets. If they don’t win this week, it’s panic time in Cincinnati. However they are not my official alternative pick. This is a survivor league articles and I can’t pick them three weeks in a row.
The Vikings are coming off an embarrassing Monday Night football game. As great of a team as Minnesota may have, it does not make up for Kirk Cousins’ inability to play in primetime. While this is terrible for Vikings fans, it’s great news for survivor league players.
Cousin has an easy bounce-back spot this week against the Lions. He lost his last game against the Lions, but before that, he had won seven in a row versus Detroit. Kirk Cousins is just as strong against the Lions as Aaron Rodgers is against the Bears.
In addition, It’s been almost two years since the Lions have won back-to-back games. Detroit took a nice win at home in Week 2, but traveling to US Bank Stadium is not the ideal trip following the win. Coach Campbell will try to keep his team focused, but two consecutive upsets are not in the cards for the Lions.
Overrated Pick (0-1) – Kansas City Chiefs (-250)
I called it last week, the Browns were highly overrated. While it came down to a ending not even Hollywood could make it up, an L’s is still an L.
I am not as passionate about Indianapolis as I was about New York — the Jets were one of my best bets last week, but this is a game I’m avoiding.
This matchup has trap-game writer all over it. The Colts are significantly underperforming through two weeks, and they simply are not as bad as they appear to be.
Kansas City is a juggernaut, but the Colts were shut out last week. Teams coming off a shutout are 41 – 21 in the following week. While that record is more likely to improve to 41 – 22, I think it’s best to steer clear, as there will be plenty of opportunities to play the Chiefs in a survivor league.