SuperDraft Strategies & Top Plays Week 5

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OVERVIEW OF HOW SUPERDRAFT WORKS VS OTHER DFS PLATFORMS:

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I have been playing daily fantasy since 2013, mainly on DraftKings and FanDuel. But in recent years, I have added playing more on SuperDraft and Yahoo Daily Fantasy. There are a lot of benefits to playing on SuperDraft. The best part, in my opinion, is that SuperDraft offers a Multiplier contest. This basically replaces the salary cap we are used to on other daily fantasy sites and assigns every player a multiplier. That’s right, you can literally draft ANY player, but you do want to take into account the multiplier strategy. This makes it much more friendly and easy to play for players just getting into daily fantasy. 

In the multiplier contests, you will draft 8 players on your lineup. This includes:

1 QB, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, 1 TE, 1 Flex (NO Defense!)

Scoring is very similar to Fanduel as it is .5 point per reception or half-point PPR. It does offer player bonuses similar to DraftKings. There is a 100-yard bonus for running backs and wide receivers and a 300-yard passing bonus for quarterbacks. All bonuses give 2 additional points. The multipliers assigned to players can be anywhere from 1x-2x and anywhere in between. So take this into account and factor in your projection for each player.

MULTIPLIER STRATEGY:

Obviously, each week will be unique in terms of scoring, and where you want to “spend”. In SuperDraft, I am fine with playing some of the top 1X players. Let other people make mistakes by fading the studs. The strategy is to find the right mix and combo of 1X players and players that are in a good spot with a good multiplier.

For reference and to continue to monitor how to use the multiplier to our advantage, I looked at the winning lineup in the large field $12 tournament from Week 4. The average multiplier between the 8 positions was 1.44 in Week 4. Last week was a higher average multiplier because of all the value plays in the Lions/Seahawks game that went off. 

TOP PLAYS FOR WEEK 5:

QUARTERBACKS 

  • Josh Allen, 1X – Has the highest floor/ceiling combo of any QB. 
  • Jalen Hurts, 1.05X – Like Allen, has a great floor/ceiling combo and could have more of a competitive game environment against the Cardinals. 
  • Tom Brady, 1.15X – Coming off a loss, with his weapons back against an incredibly weak Falcons defense is a smash spot for Brady.
  • Carson Wentz, 1.4X – After two poor performances, people will be off Wentz, but those were against top defenses with an elite pass rush. When Wentz has a clean pocket or less pressure (like the first two weeks), that’s when you want to target him.
  • Others – Justin Herbert – 1.1X, Jared Goff – 1.25X, Trevor Lawrence – 1.4X, Teddy Bridgewater – 1.55X

 

RUNNING BACKS 

  • Derrick Henry, 1X – Henry is now getting 5+ targets a game in addition to his 20+ carries a game. He should dominate against the Commanders’ struggling defense.
  • Nick Chubb, 1.05X – Chubb has 20+ touches in every game so far and I love the game environment against the Chargers to potentially be high-scoring.
  • Dalvin Cook, 1.1X – The Bears’ defense is a great get-right spot for Cook. If he gets 20 carries or more like last week, he should have a great day.
  • Value RBs in starting roles with an excellent multiplier:
    • Dameon Pierce – 1.4X
    • Damien Harris – 1.4X
    • Jamaal Williams – 1.4X
    • Rashaad Penny – 1.45X
    • Breece Hall – 1.45X
    • Devin Singletary – 1.45X
    • Raheem Mostert – 1.5X
    • Rhomandre Stevenson – 1.55X
    • Jeff Wilson – 1.6X

 

WIDE RECEIVERS

  • Choose your favorite Stud(s) – Cooper Kupp – 1X, Justin Jefferson – 1.05X, Tyreek Hill – 1.05X, Deebo Samuel – 1.05X, Stefon Diggs – 1.1X, Mike Evans – 1.1X, and AJ Brown – 1.15X – all these alpha receivers are in great spots to put up a ceiling performance. I’ll have at least one, if not two in most of my lineups.
  • Christian Kirk, 1.25X – Kirk is 6th in red zone targets and has a nearly 28% target share. Excellent match-up against the Texans.
  • Chris Godwin, 1.3X – Just like I love Brady this week, I love Evans and Godwin in a juicy matchup against the Falcons. 
  • Amon-Ra St. Brown (Q), 1.25X – If St. Brown is active, I will play him as this price is too cheap for his role and target share.
  • Terry McLaurin, 1.3X – Similar to Wentz, I love the matchup against the Titans for McLaurin this week. He ranks 7th among receivers in ADOT and air yards and ranks 2nd in deep targets. A big game is coming.
  • Chris Olave, 1.4X – Similar to McLaurin, Olave is #1 among receivers in air yards and deep targets. This is a great price against the Seahawks’ defense.
  • Rookie WR – Drake London – 1.4X, Garrett Wilson – 1.5X, George Pickens – 1.7X – These rookie receivers are all getting a lot of targets and/or air yards and are still too cheap for their role in their respective offenses.
  • Other Value WR in starting role with an excellent multiplier – Zay Jones – 1.65X, Josh Reynolds – 1.7X (IF ASB is out), Rondale Moore – 1.75X
  • Others: CeeDee Lamb – 1.15X, Mike Williams – 1.2X, Marquise Brown – 1.25X, Brandin Cooks – 1.3X

Note:  This is a good place to look for correlation and stack at least one wide receiver with your quarterback.

TIGHT ENDS 

  • Dallas Goedert – 1.15X – I love both TEs in the Eagles/Cardinals game. He leads TEs in yards after the catch.
  • Zach Ertz, 1.2X – Revenge game for Ertz? Either way, he should get a lot of targets in this high-total game.
  • Tyler Higbee, 1.4X – Higbee has 14 targets in each of the last two games. That price is way too cheap for that many targets.
  • Others – TJ Hockenson – 1.15X, Dalton Schutlz – 1.35X
  • Others Value TE with an excellent multiplier – David Njoku – 1.45X, Gerald Everett – 1.5X, Logan Thomas – 1.55X (John Bates IF Thomas is out – 1.75X), Cade Otten – 1.8X

 

FLEX 

  • Try to target a player in a high total game to stack up for more correlation or a player with an extreme multiplier in a good spot. Either way, try to target a player that has a good chance to reach their 100-yard bonus and find the endzone.

 

FINAL THOUGHTS:

Each week, I will examine the winning lineups in the large SuperDraft tournament to see what sweet spot worked for multipliers. Every season can have its own nuances, so we’ll track data to make sure we have an edge on the field and are using the multipliers correctly and to our advantage.

So be sure to check back every Friday for my SuperDraft preview. And make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS 

Article produced by Megs

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