SuperDraft Strategies & Top Plays Week 13

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OVERVIEW OF HOW SUPERDRAFT WORKS VS OTHER DFS PLATFORMS:

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I have been playing daily fantasy since 2013, mainly on DraftKings and FanDuel. But in recent years, I have added playing more on SuperDraft and Yahoo Daily Fantasy. There are a lot of benefits to playing on SuperDraft. The best part, in my opinion, is that SuperDraft offers a Multiplier contest. This basically replaces the salary cap we are used to on other daily fantasy sites and assigns every player a multiplier. That’s right, you can literally draft ANY player, but you do want to take into account the multiplier strategy. This makes it much more friendly and easy to play for players just getting into daily fantasy. 

In the multiplier contests, you will draft 8 players on your lineup. This includes:

1 QB, 2 RBs, 3 WRs, 1 TE, 1 Flex (NO Defense!)

Scoring is very similar to Fanduel as it is .5 point per reception or half-point PPR. It does offer player bonuses similar to DraftKings. There is a 100-yard bonus for running backs and wide receivers and a 300-yard passing bonus for quarterbacks. All bonuses give 2 additional points. The multipliers assigned to players can be anywhere from 1x-2x and anywhere in between. So take this into account and factor in your projection for each player.

MULTIPLIER STRATEGY:

Obviously, each week will be unique in terms of scoring, and where you want to “spend”. In SuperDraft, I am fine with playing some of the top 1X players. Let other people make mistakes by fading the studs. The strategy is to find the right mix and combo of 1X players and players that are in a good spot with a good multiplier.

For reference and to continue to monitor how to use the multiplier to our advantage, I looked at the winning lineup in the large field tournament from Week 10. The average multiplier between the 8 positions was 1.36X in Week 12.

TOP PLAYS FOR WEEK 13:

QUARTERBACKS 

  • Patrick Mahomes – 1X – In a projected shootout, you have to love Mahomes even at this price.
  • Justin Herbert – 1.15X – Herbert is looking more himself and has Keenan Allen back. Now he gets to pick on the Raiders’ defense.
  • Joe Burrow – 1.25X – On the other side of the Chiefs/Bengals’ high total, I love Burrow in what could be a back-and-forth shootout. He also likely gets his best weapon in Ja’Marr Chase back this week.
  • Others – Jalen Hurts – 1.1X, Tua Tagovailoa – 1.2X, Trevor Lawrence – 1.4X, Kenny Pickett – 1.5X, Jared Goff – 1.5X, Mike White – 1.5X

 

RUNNING BACKS 

  • Christian McCaffery – 1X  – CMC is off the injury report and will be overlooked with potentially more touches with Elijah Mitchell out and Deebo Samuel questionable.
  • Derrick Henry – 1.1X – If the Eagles’ Jordan Davis is still out, then I’m going right back to Henry. The Eagles have been getting gashed by physical runners. And Henry having success on the ground and eating clock has to be the game plan for the Titans.
  • Nick Chubb – 1.1X – Chubb against one of the league’s worst rush defenses, sign me up! My only fear is game script gets so out of hand as it did last week for the Dolphins. But Chubb could get 100 yards and 2 TDs in 3 quarters of work.
  • Kenneth Walker – 1.2X – SuperDraft fixed Walker’s price so we don’t get the value we did last week. But he’s still a great play each and every week with his usage and explosiveness.
  • Brian Robinson – 1.35X – Antonio Gibson is questionable for Sunday which would truly give Robinson the bell-cow role on a team that loves to run the ball. Even if Gibson is in, I like Robinson at this price for the number of carries and touches near the goal line that he is getting.
  • Others – Austin Ekeler – 1X, Josh Jacobs – 1.1X (Q), Aaron Jones – 1.2X, Travis Etienne – 1.25X (Q), David Montgomery – 1.25X, Samaje Perine – 1.25X (if Mixon is out again), Zonovan Knight – 1.45X

 

WIDE RECEIVERS

  • Choose your favorite Stud(s) all these alpha receivers are in great spots to put up a ceiling performance. I’ll have at least one or two of these receivers in my lineups.
  • Justin Jefferson – 1X
  • Tyreek Hill – 1.05X
  • Davante Adams – 1.05X
  • Ja’Marr Chase – 1.1X and Tee Higgins – 1.15X
  • Jaylen Waddle – 1.1X
  • Others to consider or stack:
    • Amon-Ra St. Brown – 1.15X -I target ASB a lot but I’ll definitely do so again this week with his target share and amazing match-up against the Jaguars.
    • AJ Brown – 1.2X – Whether you play the revenge angle or great match-up angle, love Brown this week.
    • Keenan Allen – 1.3X – Allen is the Chargers’ and Herbert’s top receiver against the weak Raiders’ pass defense.
    • Christian Kirk – 1.3X – Similar to ASB, we want exposure to Kirk in this high total game with two bad defenses in a dome.
    • Garrett Wilson – 1.35X – I jumped off Wilson last week because of weather concerns. Big mistake…huge! I’m going right back to him in a great match-up against the Vikings.
    • George Pickens – 1.4X – You’ll notice a theme that I love the value on rookie wide receivers this week. I want to be early to a George Pickens explosion game, and against the Falcons might be the spot.
    • Others:   DK Metcalf – 1.2X, Tyler Lockett – 1.3X, DeVonta Smith – 1.3X, Terry McLaurin -1.3X
  • Other Value Multipliers:
  • Christian Watson – 1.35X
  • Josh Palmer – 1.35X
  • Treylon Burks – 1.45X
  • Zay Jones – 1.45X (Q)
  • Nico Collins – 1.5X
  • Elijah Moore – 1.55X
  • Skyy Moore – 1.65X

Note:  This is an excellent place to look for correlation and stack at least one wide receiver with your quarterback.

TIGHT ENDS 

  • Travis Kelce – 1X – The undisputed TE1 with immense upside in any game, especially this week in a potential shootout with the Bengals.
  • George Kittle – 1.35X – Kittle’s price is too low, especially in a great game environment and match-up with the Dolphins.
  • Hayden Hurst – 1.5X – Hurst price didn’t change much. Even with Chase back, I like Hurst in a high-total game.
  • Other TE to consider:
  • TJ Hockenson – 1.1X
  • Mark Andrews – 1.15X
  • Gerald Everett – 1.25X
  • Pat Friermuth – 1.3X
  • Foster Moreau – 1.4X
  • Greg Dulchich – 1.5X
  • Tyler Conklin – 1.5X
  • Evan Engram – 1.55X
  • Harrison Bryant – 1.65X
  • Logan Thomas – 1.65X

 

FLEX 

  • Try to target a player in a high total game to stack up for more correlation or a player with an extreme multiplier in a good spot. Either way, try to target a player that has a good chance to reach their 100-yard bonus and find the endzone.

 

FINAL THOUGHTS:

Each week, I will examine the winning lineups in the large SuperDraft tournament to see what sweet spot worked for multipliers. Every season can have its own nuances, so we’ll track data to make sure we have an edge on the field and are using the multipliers correctly and to our advantage.

So be sure to check back every Friday for my SuperDraft preview. And make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS 

Article produced by Megs

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