Chiefs (24) AT Packers (18.5)
Mahomes heads to Lambeau Field to take on the surging Packers. Mahomes has a massive price tag of 12.4K for a guy who hasn’t scored over 20 DK points in 5 games and hasn’t scored over 20 DK points in their last 4 road games. Mahomes is the best QB in the league and is fully liable to go off at any point but I will not be playing him in the Captain spot and might be slightly underweight in the Flex position as well. I do like the OVER in this game but will look to target Kelce and Pacheco more so. Mahomes has a passing prop of 257.5 and a 19.5 rush prop.
Jordan Love and the Packers have now won 3 of their last 4 games. Love has improved in all 4 games and played his best game of the season vs Detroit scoring 26 DK points. Love showed some rushing upside as well last week rushing for 39 yards. I would rather play Love at Captain for nearly 3K less than Mahomes and will be overweight on him in the Flex. Love has a passing prop of 219.5 yards and a 15.5 rush prop.
Isiah Pacheco is priced up this week at 10.2K off a big game of 26 DK points last week. We should expect Isaiah to see around 20 touches again tonight. Green Bay has been beatable on the ground this season giving up 20+ DK points 7 times. We should see Pacheco with an expanded role in the passing game once again without McKinnon. I will have a small amount of Pacheco in the Captain spot tonight and will try and get overweight in the Flex spot. CEH is priced at 2.6K and should be on the field some tonight but has not looked good at all this season. He rushed for 5 yards on 3 carries last week and will be a guy I under-project tonight. The rushing prop for Pacheco is 66.5 yards and is -105 to score tonight.
Aaron Jones is out once again leaving AJ Dillon 7.8K to fill the role. Dillon played 29 snaps last week and Taylor played 27 snaps. I have not been a fan of Dillon at all and will be under projecting him once again. I will project AJ for around 10.5 DK points. Patrick Taylor is the Packer RB I want to target at only 2K and will project him for around 6 DK points. We get a 5.8K savings and the better talent I feel in Taylor and he helps you jam in the KC studs. Dillon has a rush/rec prop of 63.5 yards and is +150 to score.
Rashee Rice’s price tag continues to rise but rightfully so as he has ascended to the WR1 for KC. The 8.4K tag is high but has to most upside of these WRs for KC and caught 8 of 10 targets for 107 yards and a touchdown last week. The bond between him and Mahomes continues to grow each week and I will continue to target him tonight. Justin Watson at 5.2K seems a little high as we were playing him at 2.4K a couple of weeks ago. He is fine for large field GPPs but wouldn’t make one of my main teams. MVS, Toney, and Moore are all fine dart-throw cheap options for the Flex. Receiving props are Rice 44.5, MVS 12.5, Watson 29.5, and Moore 15.5 yards.
On the Packers side of the ball Jayden Reed and Christian Watson have been solid fantasy producers of late. Reed is priced slightly higher at 7K flat and has scored 15+ DK points in 3 straight games. Watson at 6.8K has scored in back-to-back games and comes off his best game of the year last week catching 5 passes for 94 yards and one touchdown. I will bump Reed slightly higher than Watson as he should see the better matchup out of the slot and should avoid Sneed for the most part. Doubs at 6.4K is a GPP flex option that I will look to get slightly overweight on tonight. He has 3+ catches in 5 straight games. Dontayvion Wicks is questionable but did log some limited practices this week and would be a Flex option if active. Receiving props Reed 41.5, Watson 40.5, and Doubs 34.5 yards.
Travis Kelce should finally have Swift back at his side so he should nuke here tonight (LOL). This is a great matchup for him as GB has been a team I have looked to target with tight ends. The Packers have allowed the position to score 19.6, 21.8, and 22.6 DK points vs them in the last 4 games. I want to be well overweight on Kelce in the Captain spot tonight and near-lock him in the Flex. I would prefer him to Mahomes if it was a 1v1. Noah Grey at 1.2K is also a strong salary saver that I want a lot of exposure to in the Flex. Receiving props are Kelce 69.5 yards and Gray 13.5 yards. Kelce is the slate favorite to score tonight at -115.
Tucker Kraft is priced up to 4.2K this week and that seems a little too rich for me. I will still keep him in the Flex pool but will have him projected for around 5 points and see where he lands at. Kraft has a receiving prop of 24.5 yards tonight.
I think we finally see some points in a primetime game here as the SNF/MNF games have been going under the total at a wild rate. I will be underprojecting the defenses tonight and will have the kickers bumped up slightly. We get both kickers priced fairly at 4.8K and 4.4K and I will be looking towards them for value tonight.
SNYDER MAIN CORE
Travis Kelce (CAPT) + Jayden Reed + Noah Gray 8K left per position