Snyder’s PGA Bets: U.S. Open
Last event’s recap: 1-1-1 Matchups +.1u
Season totals: Matchups 23-16-3 +5.18u
Xander Schauffele +100 vs Justin Thomas *1 unit*
When you think of big-time events and golfers who play well at tough tracks Xander is one of the first names to pop up. He is a very well composed golfer that hits a lot of fairways and puts himself in a position to score. Xander shot the best 72-hole score at the Tour Championship at 15 under par finishing in a tie for 2nd. Xander has played in 3 U.S. Opens and has finished inside the top 6 in all 3. Over the last 24 rounds Xander leads the field in bogey avoidance, 2th in scrambling, 4th in SG: OTT, and 6th in GIR gained. Thomas has had some trouble finding the fairway recently and has lost over 3 strokes putting in 3 of his last 4 events. He could really struggle here if he cannot find the fairway with this brutal rough.
Brendon Todd -110 vs Jordan Spieth *1 unit*
Todd is not that long off the tee box, but he hits a ton of fairways and plays more of a safer type of golf staying out of trouble for the most part. Todd ranks 5th in fairways gained and 6th in scrambling over the last 24 rounds. Todd has had some good success at tougher events with an 8th place at the BMW, 17th at the PGA Championship, and a 22nd at the Memorial. Spieth has lost his game and will most likely be in for a long couple of days here. He has missed his last 2 cuts including the Safeway Open last week, which featured one of the weakest fields we have seen this year. Spieth ranks 100+ in SG: OTT, Fairways gained, and GIR gained. I look for him to miss his 3rd straight cut this week.
Ian Poulter -110 vs Benny An *1 unit*
Poulter enters his 9th U.S. Open making 6 of his previous 8 cuts. Poulter played here back in 2006 and finished in a tie for 12th place. Poulter is one of the veterans that know how to grind out a round in brutal conditions. I look for Poulter to play it safe and hit fairways and avoid trouble and take his pars and move on. Benny An is a great ball striker but always seems to have a few blow-up holes. An has struggled off the tee ranking 98th in fairways gained and 115th in SG: OTT over the last 24 rounds. He is one of the worst putters on tour and could make some big numbers here if forced to play from the rough a lot. He posted on twitter that he shot +8 on his first 9 holes in practice.
Jordan Spieth to miss the cut +120
Matthew Fitzpatrick +225
Matthew Wolff +250
Brian Harman +450
Tyrrell Hatton FRL 35-1
Hideki Matsuyama FRL 35-1
Patrick Reed FRL 30-1
Tommy Fleetwood to win 33-1
Patrick Reed to win 35-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick to win 50-1