Snyder’s PGA Bets: WGC Workbench Championship
13-9 +3.09 units
Tyrell Hatton +115 vs Justin Thomas *1 unit* -DK-
This will be Hatton’s first PGA event of the year and is coming off a strong Euro swing posting 3 top-10s including a win over his last 4 events. Over the past 6 months, he has been playing some of the best golf of his career with 7 top 10 finishes including 2 wins. Hatton ranks out strong in almost every stat over his past 24 rounds and is top 10 BS, APP, GIR, and bogey avoidance. One of the best long iron players should set up well for this tough track. Thomas has not looked like himself with all the stuff going on off the golf course and recorded his worst finish last week. He was pretty torn up at his presser following his good friend Tiger’s accident as well and I like the value with the dog here.
Collin Morikawa -117 vs Cameron Smith *1 unit* -DK-
I am willing to give the best ball-striker on tour a pass on his -6 strokes putting final round last week as they were playing on bumpy Poa greens that didn’t get mowed due to worries of the wind, which saw many players miss putts. This was Collin’s 2nd straight event gaining over 7 strokes approach and is averaging 6.4 strokes gained T2G over his last 5 events. Morikawa has all the tools in the bag that this tough track will require. Last week everything seemed to click for Smith on his way to a top 5 finish. His around the green game was clutch for him in a lot of spots and he gained 4.4 strokes ARG. He has struggled some on these tougher tracks and I feel he should be a bigger dog to Morikawa here.
Daniel Berger -112 vs Webb Simpson *1 unit* -FD-
Berger took a week off after winning at Pebble Beach and will come in rested and ready for another strong showing. Berger has shot par or better in his last 29 rounds and comes off 3 top 10s in his last 4 events. Over the last 24 rounds Berger ranks out great across the board stats-wise and the putter has been heating up. I like to target Webb more on shorter par 71 courses and I think he could have trouble with how this track sets up. The ball striking and long iron play hasn’t been the greatest for Webb over the last 12 rounds.
Brooks Koepka +126 vs Bryson DeChambeau *1 unit* -FD-
BDB looks to be finally healthy and loves these big-time events on tough courses. He has said, “The way the golf courses set up it eliminates pretty much half the field” when talking about big-time events. Brooks has finished in the top 5 in 4 of the last 6 WGC events including a 2nd and 1st in his last 2 WGC’s. When looking at WGC’s and Majors his approach play has always been top-notch. Bermuda grass is his best surface to putt on and should be very comfortable playing in Florida. Bryson has struggled on these big boy tracks and courses that he cannot overpower with the driver. He was finding anything but the fairway last week hitting only 21% of his fairways, and this course has trouble off the tee if you miss the fairways with tree-lined fairways and tough bunkers placed along the fairways. Bryson has lost strokes putting in 5 of his last 7 events. Brooks lives for these types of events and the dog will be barking here.
Top 20s
Viktor Hovland -110
Joaquin Niemann +110
Will Zalatoris +150
Longshots:
Joaquin Niemann 33-1 (FRL)
Sungjae Im 40-1 (FRL)
Viktor Hovland 22-1 to win
Brooks Koepka 25-1 to win
Sungjae Im 40-1 to win
Collin Morikawa 45-1 to win
