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Articles

Snyder’s PGA Bets: The Masters

Season totals: Matchups 25-17-3 +6.08

 

Bubba Watson -110 vs Tyrrell Hatton *1 unit*

Bubba enters the Masters with 4 top 20s in his last 5 events including a 4th place finish at the ZoZo and a 7th at the CJ Cup in his last 2 events. Bubba has been playing some of his best golf in some time as he is averaging 8.1 strokes gained T2G, 3.2 strokes gained OTT, and 3.2 strokes gained approach in his last 5 events. In the past 24 rounds, Watson ranks top 5 in APP, T2G, BS, GIR gained, Par 5 scoring, and OTT as he eyes his 3rd green jacket this week. Bubba may not usually be the best of putters but has faired really well here at Augusta. Hatton has been struggling around the green losing strokes in his last 5 events and hasn’t finished better than 40th in his 3 trips to the Masters.

Brooks Koepka -110 vs Patrick Cantlay *1 unit*

Brooks was in danger of missing the cut last week at the Houston Open as he was sitting right on the cut line with 5 holes to play and finished with 2 birdies to get back to +2 heading into the weekend. Koepka then fires back to back 65s on the weekend to propel him up the leaderboard for a T5 finish. He hit 77% of his greens and gained strokes putting both days. Brooks has been to the Masters 4 times finishing better every trip (33, 21, 11, 2).  Brooks is a big game hunter, and this is the last major of the year as he was in position at the PGA Championship before falling on the final day. Cantlay does not have the best history here and ranks 45th in approach and 46th in BoB gained over the past 24 rounds.

Ian Poulter -110 vs Abraham Ancer *1 unit*

Poulter is a course history play here as he played in this event 14 times entering this week and has made the cut in all but 1 try. Poulter has also only finished outside the top 35 twice besides the one missed cut. Poulter had a solid showing last year here with a 12th place finish gaining 7 strokes in total. Ian also enters off a solid top 15 finish at the CJ Cup in his last event. Ancer is making his first trip to Augusta this year which usually does not bode well for first-timers here. What worries me with Ancer here is his approach play losing strokes in 5 of his last 7 events. Over his past 24 rounds he outside the top 50 in SG: APP, Opps gained, Bogey avoidance, and scrambling.

Lanto Griffin -110 vs Brandt Snedeker *1 unit*

Lanto is one of my favorite value plays of the week, he is a good bentgrass putter and has gained strokes approach in his last 5 events and 12 of his last 13 events. Lanto has been hitting greens at a pretty high clip as well giving him plenty of birdie chances. Snedeker is very dependent on his putter to score well. He has lost SG: T2G in 11 of his last 13 events and only has 1 finish inside the top 40 in his last 12 of his last 13 events. He missed the cut here last year and is a guy I am happy to fade in this spot.

Matthew Wolff -150 vs Jordan Spieth *1 unit*

After back to back 2nd place finishes at the U.S. Open and Shriners Wolff has struggled in his last 2 events mainly due to his poor OTT and ARG play. His approach play has still been solid and is averaging 3.4 strokes gained in his last 5 events. He has had a couple of weeks to get things worked out and fixed. Wolff has not been scared of the big stage as he has finished 4th and 2nd in his first 2 majors played. Wolff gained 12.7 strokes total at the PGA and 16.3 at the U.S. Open. We are always looking to fade Spieth any chance we get as he mas missed 4 of his last 6 cuts and has been brutal off the tee and lost strokes approach in 4 of his last 5. Spieth does tend to play well here, but his game is in bad shape right now and he would need to literally make almost every putt to keep him alive.

Top 20

Matthew Fitzpatrick +164

Ian Poulter +300

Lanto Griffin +400

First-round leader

Jon Rahm 20-1

Xander Schauffele 22-1

Ian Poulter 66-1

To Win

Brooks Koepka 17-1

Bubba Watson 33-1

 

 

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