Ravens @ Bears, NFL Week 11

November 16, 2021
By: Coop

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Ravens -6.5 @ Bears Total 45.5

DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE

Ravens VS PASS 24 // VS RUSH 15 // PASS 16 // RUSH 3 // OVERALL 11

Bears VS PASS 19 // VS RUSH 21 // PASS 29 // RUSH 14 // OVERALL 26

SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com

MATCHUP

The Ravens travel to Chicago looking to rebound from a horrible defeat to the Dolphins. Baltimore hasn’t been the best on the road this season, 2-2, but it’s the offense that has sputtered. Three games of 23 points or less with 27 being the best. Chicago has lost four in a row and the last two have been hurtful. They have been much better at home this year playing competitive games.

Justin Fields is coming around but still along way to go. Fantasy wise the past two game he has been solid. I expect more on the ground than in the air and due to game flow I will likely pass. David Montgomery is back and should be fully healthy after seeing reps in his last game. He is my target from the Bears side of this game. He has two touchdown upside to go along with 100+ yards on the ground.

Lamar Jackson has been up and down all year. Which one do we get against a beat up Bears defense. He isn’t running like the past but his passing has been better than prior years. The price is at a season high and he has yet to eclipse 25 points on the road. Marquise Brown has a nice matchup and continues to see 10+ targets per game. He only needs one play to have a nice game being a deep threat. Pairing the two together is pricey but could pay off.

I am likely out on this game. First I see it being fast moving as both teams like to run the ball. Second, both QB’s are similar in style thus the defenses should have a good idea of what to expect from the opposing QB. Now can they execute is this question. It’s really the first piece that I mentioned that has me out as I don’t see either team jumping to a huge lead and forcing the other to pass.

THE DFS GEMS

David Montgomery, Bears- $5,500. The price is to cheap for a player with his upside. This isn’t the prime Ravens defense and I like him as one off’s in lineups that feature other game stacks.

Marquise Brown, Ravens- $7,100. Three games in row with 12+ targets. 5 on the season with 10+ and in four of the five he has scored well. If you think the targets remain steady he is your man.

Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS