PrizePicks Flex Play of the Day – Verlander, Toussaint, and Freeman

Freddie Freeman Over 1.5 Total Bases

Freddie Freeman enters play with a .323 batting average. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

After struggling in New York with just one hit in ten at-bats following the All-Star break, Freddie Freeman has regained his form in Baltimore.

In the first two games of the series, the Dodgers have dominated the Orioles, outscoring them 16-7. Freeman has been on fire, going 6-9 at Camden Yards. Given his recent performance, there is no reason to think Freeman will slow down today. Don’t be surprised to see him launch a home run in this tiny ballpark to nail this prop.

Justin Verlander Under 6.5 Strikeouts

Justin Verlander is averaging .84 Ks an inning.  Mandatory Credit: Erik Williams-USA TODAY Sports

The Mets’ offense was clicking last night, but they needed every one of the eleven runs they scored, as Mets’ pitchers allowed ten to the White Sox. However, with Justin Verlander on the mound today, it will take far fewer runs for the Mets to claim the victory.

While Verlander’s stats are nowhere near last season’s, he’s still having a solid year. Several poor performances have jacked up his ERA, but looking past the few bad starts, his numbers are exactly where we would expect them to be. Everything, except for his strikeouts, they have taken a dip over the past few seasons; his K totals have been all over the place this year, ranging from 2 to 8.

Over thirteen starts, Verlander has recorded 7+ strikeouts twice. This number is far too high, and bettors should ride with less.

Touki Toussaint Under 4 Strikeouts

Battling Verlander today will be Touki Toussaint. Toussaint is making his fourth start of the season, but he’s also made few appearances coming in for long relief.

Toussaint has posted solid strikeouts numbers, clocking right under one K an inning. Despite that, expectations should be low for him. Seeing that the Mets’ bats are hot, Toussaint likely won’t pitch more than four or five innings, and they will not be long enough for him to record five strikeouts. The Mets don’t often strike out, so at worst, bettors are looking at a push on this one.

 

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