PrizePicks Flex Play of the Day – Bethancourt, Severino, Lynn, & Berrios

Christian Bethancourt Under 1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIS

This is a gift from PrizePicks.

I don’t know why Bethancourt is still in the league, but teams continue to employ him, and even more ridiculous than giving him a job is PrizePicks for giving us this offering.

Bethancourt had one strong game against Seattle, which isn’t impressive as everyone plays well against the Sea Boys, and suddenly he has props like this. Take out that one game; Bethancourt has two hits in his last five games. Rarely does he get on base, and even more rarely does he make his way around the bases. This is an easy play and a great first leg for this Flex Play.

Luis Severino Under 5 Pitcher Strikeouts

Luis Severino has hit his K prop only once this season. Mandatory Credit: Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports

Since becoming a regular in the Yankees starting rotation, Severino’s performance has been underwhelming. If things don’t change quickly, he will likely be bumped when Nestor Cortes returns from the IL.

Severino has made eight starts this season, and only twice has he eclipsed 5 Ks, and facing Baltimore today, that number is not liable to change. The Orioles strikeouts 8.25 times per game, and with Severino struggling to make it through the fifth, he will not have the innings to hit this number.

Jose Berrios + Lance Lynn Over 11.5 Pitching Strikeouts

Lance Lynn is averaging 1.2 Ks an inning. Mandatory Credit: Kamil Krzaczynski-USA TODAY Sports

Jose Berrios is making the start today against Lance Lynn. Lynn has been untouchable of late, but Berrios is doing solid work himself.

In six of Berrios’ last ten starts, he’s allowed two runs or less — with two shutouts. While he’s not mowing down batters like Lynn is, he’s doing his part to help his ball club pick up wins. Berrios’ K totals have ranged from 2 – 8. However, the White Sox are a team that doesn’t shy away from strikeouts, so with Berrios carrying an implied total is 5, he should have no problem covering that.

The juice for this bet comes from Lance Lynn. Lynn has stuck out 40 over his last five, with sixteen coming against Seattle. Now the Blue Jays are a very different team from the Mariners, but the point still stands, Lynn is hot. He should still strike out 7-8 and do his part to cover this bet while adding a little insurance.

Bonus Bet: Jose Berrios + Lance Lynn Under 0.5 First Inning Runs Allowed

As established, both these guys are pitching incredibly well. Neither pitcher will have any trouble the first time through the lineup, so there is no reason to think any runs will come in the first inning.

 

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