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Carolina Panthers +4.5 @ Dallas Cowboys 50.5
DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE
Panthers VS PASS 1 // VS RUSH 1 // PASS 13 // RUSH 14 // OVERALL 1
Cowboys VS PASS 14 // VS RUSH 12 // PASS 8 // RUSH 3 // OVERALL 9
Carolina might be viewed as a surprise team at 3-0 to begin the 2021 season, but you have to give Sam Darnold credit as he is nearly averaging 300 yards passing each game and only has 1 INT. The defense has also been great in putting pressure on opposing QBs racking up 13.5 sacks already and 3 INTs. This has led to some great starting field positions for the offense. The loss of McCaffery will hurt the offense to a degree but Hubbard filled in well last game catching 3 passes and averaging just under 5 yards per carry. I expect Trevon Diggs to shadow DJ Moore here and expect the rookie Terrence Marshall and Robby Anderson to see more work in the passing game. This is a great spot for Anderson to have one of his ceiling-type games here as Dallas has given up some big plays to secondary receivers.
After losing a close game to Tampa Bay on opening night the Cowboys have looked great in wins over the Chargers and the Eagles on Monday night. Zeke had a great game once again vs the Eagles on Monday as they haven’t been able to stop him in previous matchups. Lamb caught the big pass early in the game but wasn’t really needed much with how proficient the rush game was. Dalton Schultz played one of the best games of his career on Monday catching 6 passes for 80 yards and 2 touchdowns. Amari Cooper doesn’t look to be 100% and will be a guy I pass on until I see him back to 100%.
I expect both offenses to have success in this game as Vegas agrees with a total of 50.5 at the moment. Chuba Hubbard should garner some ownership here and I believe it is much deserved with the system that saw Mike Davis fill in for CMC last year with much success. Dallas presents a much tougher test for this Panther defense and should have success moving the ball through the air as Brandin Cooks caught 9 passes for 112 yards vs them last week.
THE DFS GEMS
CeeDee Lamb, DAL – $6,700 on DraftKings. I think DraftKings made a mistake leaving Lamb under 7K as he looks to be the Alpha in this passing game. I think Carolina will be able to stop the rush game here leading to Dallas airing the ball out more.
Sam Darnold, CAR – $6,000 on DraftKings. Darnold is my favorite spend-down QB on the slate this week. You can stack up Darnold/Anderson/Lamb as a skinny stack and have enough money for a good secondary stack.
Robby Anderson, CAR – $5,100 on DraftKings. I look for the Darnold/Anderson connection to finally connect for a big game here. This is kinda a show-me-type game for Robby here as Moore will mainly see Diggs in coverage.
Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS
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