NHL Bets Blog – NHL 11/16/2022

YTD (48-46-2)

It doesn’t get more heart breaking than 2 OT losses to cap off the night. Thompson had 6 SOG but couldn’t find the back of the net. I watched him whiff on about 3 wide open shots which was killer. The Over in that was easy though, no one there played defense. I expect a similar result from them tonight, It’s overs season. Only a few games tonight but I found something I like from each of them.

 

Buffalo Sabres (+145) @ Ottawa Senators (-170)

Sabres props were a heart breaker last night, but the over came in real nice. I expect the same tonight. Ottawa plays a similar style as Buffalo and Vancouver, all gas no breaks. Both Ottawa and Buffalo are top 10 in goals for while ranking in the mid 20s for GAA. Same goes for special teams so any penalties will likely be capitalized on. The over is at 7 (+110) right now, which is a smidge high but 6.5 is going at -150 so pick your poison there. I don’t mind risking the push on this one.

I don’t know what to make of this game as far as winners go, Ottawa generally outshoots their opponents by a large margin on home ice but have lost their last 5 in their home barn. Buffalo has struggled to generate shots on the road, averaging less than 25 in their 6 away games this year. They’re being outshot by 60 in the same span. Buffalo hasn’t announced their goalie yet but if the line for their goalies saves is around 28-29 then I’ll be all over it. I may go as high as 31.5 but I want to see the odds before I say for sure. Keep an eye in the discord as I’ll likely make a play around the Sabres goalie.

Over 7 Total Goals Scored (+110)
Sabres Goalie Saves (check discord later)

 

 

St. Louis Blues (-170) @ Chicago Blackhawks (+150)

The Blues had my number the other night, namely Binnington who put up 45 saves in the Blues win against the Avs. I want to be mad about it but it was one of the best goalie performances I’ve seen in some time. I like his saves number tonight. Chicago hasn’t exactly been letting it fly this year, but the Blues have been wildly outshot on the road. Aside from 1 game, they have given up a minimum of 35 shots in every away game so far.

Binningtons prop is extremely low at 25.5, that’s the only reason I like it. I wouldn’t chase this number. This will either hit half way through the second or be a sweat depending on which team plays to their averages. I think the Blues play to their average as the Hawks have been decent on home ice, putting up respectable shot numbers against some defense first teams in their last few home games.

Jordan Binnington Over 25.5 Saves (-120)

 

 

LA Kings (+125) @ Edmonton Oilers (-145)

Based on history alone this game could be an absolute gong show (shit show). Just some numbers for you here, of the Kings 9 away games 6 have had at least 7 goals. Of the Oilers 9 home games 7 have had at least 7 goals scored. It just so happens that the over/under line tonight is 7. Like the Sabres/Sens you can get -150 for 6.5 but I have no issues with a push.

Both teams are very offense forward with, to put plainly, shitty goaltending. Cal Peterson is the likely starter for the Kings and he averages over 4 goals against. He’s trash on a good night and a dumpster fire on a bad one. I don’t trust him even a little bit against the Oilers fire power. Edmonton is starting Skinner who really hasn’t been bad but the Oilers are known for leaving goalies out to dry so I expect him to be tested tonight.

Over 7 Total Goals Scored (+115)

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