Another rough go last night. Had faith in the Avs and that over the most but it seems neither of them could get it done. In hind sight I should have taken every save prop offered on Saros, the guy is a mutant to make almost 70 saves to get the dub. Needless to say he won’t be getting the start tonight in Washington.
The past few days have been brutal, definitely gave back a few units, but following the numbers always works out in the end and has worked well so far.
Tampa Bay Lightning (-110) @ Winnipeg Jets (-110)
There are a few reasons I love the Jets tonight. One, Vasi is a GTD for the Bolts while he deals with illness so that is something to keep an eye on. Two, no Victor Hedman who is back in Tampa while he and his wife expect a child. The third is that the Jets are getting the band back together.
Wheeler, Ehlers, Schmidt, and Perfetti are all expected to be back in the line up for the Jets. This gives them a massive boost to both goal scoring in Ehlers and Perfetti, but defensively in Wheeler and Schmidt. When fully healthy this Jets team is one of my favorites, especially with Hellebuyck backing them
Tampa has been pretty leaky as of late, allowing almost 4 GAA on the road. Their goaltending choices are a Vasi who I assume won’t be 100% coming off an illness, or Brian Elliott. To be honest a bed ridden Vasilevskiy would probably be better than Elliot, but even he hasn’t been the stone wall we’ve seen in recent years.
This is a great spot for the Jets in my opinion, and while I have them Money Line for the sake of the article I think a regulation win is very much on the table and I’ll be splitting my bet roughly 70/40 for ML/Regulation.
Winnipeg Jets Money Line (-110)
NY Islanders (+185) @ Calgary Flames (-215)
The Isles make the trek across Alberta tonight to take on the Flames in game two of their back to back. Being a back to back on the road I expect the Flames to smash here. We talk about it constantly, home teams come out flying against teams on back to backs, especially when that team is allowing the 7th most shots on the road.
The Flames started the season very slow, but have since turned things around. In their last 5 home stands they’ve been a beast, outshooting opposing teams by an average margin of 12. The Isles on the other hand have done the opposite, they’re starting to realize they need Sorokin to stand on his head in order to get the win, and unfortunately Sorokin played last night so I wouldn’t expect to see him tonight.
Varlamov has been decent but he isn’t even close to Sorokin, given the shot disparity the numbers are showing for the past 5 games he should be seeing a ton of shot volume tonight. I could see the Flames potting 4+ in this match up, and I may sprinkle some money on the first period over (1.5) as well.