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Carolina Panthers +7.5 @ Cincinnati Bengals 42.5
DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE
Panthers VS PASS 27 // VS RUSH 7 // PASS 32 // RUSH 12 // OVERALL 28
Bengals VS PASS 7 // VS RUSH 15 // PASS 14 // RUSH 22 // OVERALL 10
SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com – DVOA rankings are based off 2021 numbers until we have more data to work with.
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The Panthers travel to Cincy with a bad taste in their mouths after a wild finish at Atlanta last week. Big T talked up PJ Walker last week and he threw for over 300-yards with one touchdown late to DJ Moore. Moore caught only 6 of his 11 targets for 152 yards and a touchdown. The 62-yard hail mary pass ended up being a 16-point catch as he hit the 100-yard bonus as well. Second-year player Terrace Marshall was incorporated more into the offense last week catching 4 of 9 targets for 87 yards. Marshall played a season-high 93% of the snaps and is a name to keep an eye on going forward. D’onta Foreman rushed for 100+ yards for the second straight week carrying the ball 26 times for 118 yards and three touchdowns.
The Bengals return home for a game vs Carolina before their bye week next week. Cincy looked to have had the passing game rolling until the injury to Ja’Marr Chase last week. Burrow struggled for most of the game before tossing a couple of touchdowns in the 4th quarter. The offensive line allowed Burrow to be sacked 5 times. Tee Higgins led the team in receiving yards catching 3 passes for 49 yards and one touchdown. Hayden Hurst caught all 4 targets for 42 yards. Tyler Boyd was not able to duplicate his massive game from the week before only catching 5 passes for 38 yards and a touchdown. With the Bengals going down early they were forced to avoid the rushing game as Mixon only had 8 carries for 27 yards. Joe Mixon was heavily used in the passing game catching 7 of 9 targets for 32 yards.
The total for this game has dropped 1.5 points from open down to 42.5. Carolina has been decent vs the run this season but has given up big games through the air. Over the past 7 weeks, Carolina is giving up an average of 39 points to the WR position. This looks like a great spot for Joey B and the Bengals to get back on track after last week’s setback. I would look to run back my Bengals stacks with DJ Moore who is still priced under 6K and Marshall is also still under 4K. The PJ Walker side of the stack will come in lower owned and I think we can run either a skinny stack or a full double with 1 or 2 pieces from Cincy to run it back with.
THE DFS GEMS
Joe Burrow, CIN – $6,600 on DraftKings. Joey B has a great price tag here and I love the matchup vs this bad secondary. Great bounce-back spot for this passing attack even without Chase.
Hayden Hurst, CIN – $3,600 on DraftKings. The tight end position is really bad this week and Hurst has a tasty price tag here with multiple touchdown upside. I expect around 5-7 targets for Hurst this week.
Terrance Marshall, CAR – $3,900 on DraftKings. I think the majority will go to DJ Moore this week and rightfully so, but Marshall has a very tasty price that will help us load up on other studs this week.
Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS
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