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Pittsburgh Steelers 11 @ Philadelphia Eagles 43
DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE
Steelers VS PASS 18 // VS RUSH 17 // PASS 24 // RUSH 26 // OVERALL 27
Eagles VS PASS 25 // VS RUSH 18 // PASS 14 // RUSH 3 // OVERALL 15
SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com – DVOA rankings are based off 2022 numbers.
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The turnover prone Kenny Pickett (5.1K) and the Pittsburgh Steelers get to visit the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles lead by Jalen Hurts (8.3K) who has not posted a 30 FPT performance in the last 3 weeks. This game features one of the largest spreads of the week and could be a spot where the Eagles put up a big number and showcase what kind of team they can be going forward.
As always, I’ll likely stay away from the 3 headed RBBC which the Eagles deploy. They are lead by Miles Sanders (6.6K) followed by Kenneth Gainwell (4.7K) and Boston Scott (4.2K). Vulture SZN can commence at any time for any of these backs and even from their own QB, so it’s just a situation I’ll aim to avoid. Instead, I’ll focus on the passing game which features A.J. Brown (7.7K), DeVonta Smith (6.3K), and Dallas Goedert (5K). Quez Watkins (3.3K) can also be considered for value but there is always risk as the before mentioned 3 pass catchers hog majority of the target share.
On the PIT side, I’ll be less focused on stacking them up but more so focused on the run backs. The spread indicates that PIT will be playing from behind for majority of the game so I want access to the pass catchers such as Pat Freiermuth (3.9K) who Kenny Pickett loves to go to. George Pickens (4.7K) is also another cheap piece and you definitely can’t ignore Diontae Johson (5.6K) and his cheap tag. I’ll likely be under on Chase Claypool (4.8K) as I’ve liked what I’ve seen from the other pass catchers. I’ll also definitely stay away from Najee Harris (5.7K) and Jaylen Warren (4.6K) of the run game.
THE DFS GEMS
Jalen Hurts, PHI – $8,300 on DraftKings. As I mentioned above, it has been a few weeks since Hurts has flashed his upside. He should be able to get whatever he wants against this horrible PIT team at home.
George Pickens, PIT – $4,700 on DraftKings. Has had double digit FPT performances in 3 of his last 4 weeks and over 6 targets as well. Great run back option in a trailing script.
Pat Freiermuth, PIT – $3,900 on DraftKings. Very cheap tag for a guy who had 9 targets last week. In a game PIT should be trailing, opportunity should be a plenty for the Muth.
Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS
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