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HOUSTON TEXANS +7 @ LAS VEGAS RAIDERS 45.5
DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE
TEXANS VS PASS 16 // VS RUSH 29 // PASS 28 // RUSH 25 // OVERALL 28
RAIDERS VS PASS 30 // VS RUSH 15 // PASS 23 // RUSH 8 // OVERALL 24
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Davis Mills has yet to clear 17 DK this season, and I certainly don’t think he will this week either. Just hasn’t shown any ceiling at all, and this Houston team loves to run the ball. Looking at the DVOA, you wouldn’t think Dameon Pierce is in play here, but he has shown he is an every down back with 25+ carry upside. I like him quite a bit this week even as a 7 point underdog.
This is a much better matchup for the WR here for Houston. Brandin Cooks is a bit too expensive for my liking at 6K this week. He has only cleared 60 yards once this season but is averaging 8.5 targets a game and he only has 1 TD. I much prefer Nico Collins at 4200. He has cleared 60 yards in each of the last 2 weeks and leads the team in Air yards. The TE position is dumpster fire for this team.
As 7 point home favorites, I would expect the Raiders to #Establishit this game. Derek Carr has cleared 20DK just once on the season. I don’t have any interest in him this week. Josh Jacobs has been AWESOME this season. He is a cash game staple this week at a very affordable 6500 price tag. He is coming off back to back 30+ DK point performances and has 3 Touchdowns over the last 2 weeks. The Texans have the 2nd worst Run D DVOA.
Capable of going off in any matchup, Davante Adams only had 3 catches last week, but found the box twice and scored 30 DK. I wouldn’t expect the same here though. If playing Adams, I would def fade Jacobs. The other WR for the Raiders arent in play at all. TE Darren Waller hasn’t practiced all week, but even if he is in, I have no interest here. I do have interest in the Raiders defense here though.
THE DFS GEMS
DAMEON PIERCE, HOU – $6,400 on DraftKings. Should be lower owned this week. Will see a lot of volume.
JOSH JACOBS – $6,500 on DraftKings. CASH GAME LOCK. Will be massively owned, but the matchup is as good as it gets.
RAIDERS D – $2,500 on DraftKings. Def in play this week. Prefer the Broncos at the same price.
Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS
Article produced by garyuscg14
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