NFL WEEK 4, BILLS AT RAVENS

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BUFFALO BILLS -3 @ BALTIMORE RAVENS 51

 

DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE

BILLS VS PASS 2 // VS RUSH 5 // PASS 5 // RUSH 32 // OVERALL 1

RAVENS VS PASS 15 // VS RUSH 23 // PASS 1 // RUSH 19 // OVERALL 3

SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com 

 

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MATCHUP SUMMARY 

This game has the highest total on the week by over a field goal. Both teams secondaries are banged up and this game is setting up to be a high scoring back and forth affair. Josh Allen is coming into this matchup off b2b2b 30+ dk point performances. He should be able to keep that up here as the Ravens are giving up the third most FP to the QB position so far this season. Singletary is the only fantasy relevant RB from this offense, but there are other cheaper RBs I like more on this slate.

Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis are the only 2 playable WR on the main slate this week. Mckenzie is sharing time with Jamison Crowder and likely wont get the 9 targets he saw last week. Davis continues to play almost every snap and would expect his 8% target share to increase in the coming weeks. At 6600, he is likely a lower owned piece in your Buffalo stacks. Stefon Diggs continues to MASH. He has 35 targets on the season already and is a PPR dream. The Ravens have given up the most FP to the WR position this season. Dawson Knox is a tournament dart throw where you hope he finds the End Zone.

Lamar Jackson is betting on himself this season in his contract year. He is QB1 in fantasy on the season by ALOT. He has 2 40+ DK point performances and has rushed for over 100 yards twice. My concern with him this week is that Buffalo plays Zone defense and the defenses he has faced so far have been man to man. That being said, the Bills are still missing most of their starting secondary so that could be negated a bit here. I do prefer Allen to him straight up this week. JK Dobbins and Justice Hill split the snaps 50/50 last week and would expect the same here. I wont have any of this backfield.

Rashod Bateman and Devin Duvernay are the only fantasy relevant WR here. Duvernay has 3 TDs through 3 game and has scored over 10 DK points in each game. He makes for an interesting GPP play at only 4100. Rashod Bateman has a 18% target share and I prefer to spend down with Duvernay. Mark Andrews is riding the Lamar coattails to an elite season and the TE1. He is coming off b2b 28 DK point performances. If stacking Lamar, you MUST have Andrews and his massive 35% target share.

This is my favorite game on the slate. We need to watch for the weather here, but if its just a little rain, I’m not worried. If the total drops below 50, that would be a bit concerning as the total opened at 54.5.

 

THE DFS GEMS 

JOSH ALLEN, BUF – $8,400 on DraftKings. Incredible matchup here versus a decimated secondary.

STEFON DIGGS, KC – $8,400 on DraftKings. Massive 26% target share with 35 targets over the first 3 weeks.

LAMAR JACKSON, BAL  – $8,300 on DraftKings. QB1 by almost 4 FP on the season. Massive upside.

 

Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS 

Article produced by garyuscg14

 

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