NFL Week 3, Saints AT Panthers

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New Orleans Saints -3 @ Carolina Panthers 40.5

 

DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE

Saints VS PASS 15 // VS RUSH 19 // PASS 30 // RUSH 5 // OVERALL 22

Panthers VS PASS 12 // VS RUSH 24 // PASS 28 // RUSH 8 // OVERALL 19

SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com – DVOA rankings are based off 2021 numbers until we have more data to work with. 

 

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MATCHUP SUMMARY

Alvin Kamara was ruled out last week and Mark Ingram handled the bulk of the carries, rushing 10 times for 60 yards. Ingram did put the ball on the ground once. Dwayne Washington carried the ball 4 times and Taysom Hill had 3. Jameis Winston had a rough day throwing 3 interceptions and posted a QBR of 55.8. Chris Olave is very close to breaking out after seeing 319 air yards. He was only able to catch 5 of his 13 targets for 80 yards, which led the team. Big Mike was second on the team catching 6 of 9 targets for 65 yards and he found the endzone once again. Tight end Juwan Johnson caught 4 of 7 targets for 40 yards.   

The biggest thing to monitor with this year’s Panthers team is Baker Mayfield. He had McCaffery open in the flat many times throughout the game, but Baker wants all the attention and would rather just tuck the ball and run. McCaffery carried the ball 15 times for 102 yards but only had 4 catches for 26 yards. Baker completed 14 of 29 passes for 145 yards and carried the ball 6 times for 35 yards. DJ Moore caught 3 of 6 targets for 43 yards and a touchdown. Robbie Anderson caught 3 of 5 targets for 32 yards.

This is not the best game for DFS outside of some one-off plays. Chris Olave and Mike Thomas are solid options from the Saint’s side. I feel like Olave is about to explode for a monster game one of these weeks if the air yards can be converted into real yards. Mike Thomas has been the guy Winston looks for in the RedZone. McCaffery is still in play for GPPs as he holds slate-breaking upside if Baker starts to get him the ball more in the flats. I think this game will be another slow-moving game that doesn’t offer much fantasy goodness.

 

THE DFS GEMS

Chris Olave, NO – $4,500 on DraftKings. 319 air yards last week and connected with Winston for a 51-yard pass. Huge upside for the price tag here.

Michael Thomas, NO – $5,900 on DraftKings. Big Mike remains under 6K and has been active in the passing game. 8 targets in week 1, followed by 9 targets in week 2. Thomas has found the endzone in both games this season.

Christian McCaffery, CAR – $8,8000 on DraftKings. CMC is still priced under 9K which is a steal if they decide to utilize him properly.

 

Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS 

Article produced by SNYDER  

 

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