NFL Week 2, Miami AT Baltimore

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Miami Dolphins +3.5 @ Baltimore Ravens 44.5

 

DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE

Dolphins VS PASS 9 // VS RUSH 17 // PASS 23 // RUSH 29 // OVERALL 25

Ravens VS PASS 30 // VS RUSH 7 // PASS 16 // RUSH 11 // OVERALL 19

SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com – DVOA rankings are based off 2021 numbers until we have more data to work with. 

 

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MATCHUP SUMMARY

The Mike McDonald era began with a win at home last week vs the Patriots. Tua was efficient completing 23 of 33 passes for 270 yards and 1 touchdown. Tyreek Hill was used as an extension to the run at times as he compiled 8 catches off 12 targets for 94 yards. Jaylen Waddle grabbed 4 of 5 targets for 69 yards and the games loan offensive touchdown. The rush game was non-existent for the Dolphins as Edmonds rushed 12 times for 25 yards and Raheem Mostert totaled 16 yards off 5 carries. Edmonds did have the passing game locked down catching 4 passes for 40 yards. Mostert was on the field for the 2-minute drill.

The Ravens opened their season on the road in New York and defeated the Jets 24-9. Baltimore’s offense looked rusty out of the gates as they choose to sit their starters during the preseason. Lamar Jackson was rusty to begin the game but did link up with Rashod Bateman late in the 3rd quarter for a 55-yard touchdown. Devin Duvernay was another key target for Jackson catching 4 passes for 54 yards and two touchdowns. Mark Andrews led the team in targets with 7 but only caught 5 for 52 yards. The rush game was non-existent for the Ravens as well. This comes as a surprise for a team build off the run. J.K. Dobbins practiced in full today, which is a very promising sign he could play Sunday. Dobbins led the NFL in yards per carry as a rookie but missed last season due to injury.  Isaiah Likely, the rookie tight end received 4 targets but was unable to secure any of them. I think we continue to see Likely involved in the passing game as he had 2 strong preseason games and had great success in college. He played 45% of the snaps and Harbaugh wants to see both Andrews and Likely on the field to create difficult matchups.

I expect a defensive battle in this game as the total only sits at 44.5. The Ravens forced Flacco into mistakes and sacked him 3 times. The pressure and strong secondary from the Ravens forced Flacco to dump the ball off to the running backs 13 times. I think we could see Edmonds and Hill active in the short passing game for the Dolphins this week. I expect a much better showing from the Ravens offense this week being back in Baltimore and out of the rainy weather. The Dobbins news is worth watching but I would take the wait-and-see approach as they work him back into the offense. The Ravens were 2nd in neutral pass rate last week and Lamar took some shots downfield. He needs to be able to handle the blitz better this week to have success as he struggled against this Miami blitz last year.

 

THE DFS GEMS 

Mark Andrews, BAL – $6,400 on DraftKings. Andrews was underwhelmed last week only catching 5 passes for 52 yards. This is a solid price tag for his upside and I think he will be priced the in 7K range very soon.  

Lamar Jackson, BAL – $7,400 on DraftKings. Lamar is in play for GPPs and if he is able to avoid the blitz, he could have a field day on the ground.

Chase Edmonds, MIA – $5,200 on DraftKings. Edmonds caught 4 passes last week for 40 yards. The Raven’s pressure caused Flacco to dump the ball off to the RBs and I could see Tua in the same scenario.

 

Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS 

Article produced by SNYDER  

 

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