NFL WEEK 18, SATURDAY GEMS

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Happy New Year RunPure crew! We’re treated to a two-game Saturday slate for the first Saturday of the new year with significant playoff implications, something we love for DFS at the end of the season. The early game Saturday features the Chiefs heading to Las Vegas (Chiefs -9, O/U 52.5) and now only need to win to secure the coveted first-round bye in the AFC. The evening game brings us another must-win spot for the Titans in Jacksonville (Jaguars -6.5, O/U 40). The winner of this game wins the AFC South and punches a playoff ticket. This is a two game slate, so I’ll break down my favorite plays at each position. 

QUARTERBACK

Trevor Lawrence, JAX, $6,100 on DraftKings/$8,000 on FanDuel Lawrence put up 36 fantasy points the first time these two teams met and I expect this game to be a dogfight. I think this game plays much closer and easily goes over the total. Given that, Lawrence could end up being the best point-per-dollar play at Quarterback.   

Patrick Mahomes, KC, $8,400 on DraftKings/$9,500 on FanDuel After playing the game of their season last week, and with speculation that many of their backups will receive significant playing time in Week 18, it’s difficult to envision the Raiders being as competitive as last week. However, Mahomes is playing for both the NFL MVP award and needs 430 passing yards to break the single season passing record. Travis Kelce also has some incentives, and this pairing could go through the roof.

RUNNING BACK

Derrick Henry, TEN, $8,000 on DraftKings/$9,500 on FanDuel Henry has torched this team over the last two years. If the Titans can win, it will be through a big game from the Big Dog. Running Back is thin on this small slate.  

Jerick McKinnon, KC, $6,300 on DraftKings/$7,700 on FanDuel He’s been a beast in the second half of the season, even in a committee. I probably will not pair him with Pacheco in the same lineup.

Isiah Pacheco, KC, $5,600 on DraftKings/$6,500 Pacheco is a little tougher play if we truly expect a pass-heavy Kansas City game plan.

Zamir White, LV, $4,000 on DraftKings/$4,800 There seems to be a chance that Josh Jacobs (general disgruntlement) could miss this game or be limited. There’s also talk the Raiders could elect to feature White in a game that means nothing for them. 

WIDE RECEIVER

Zay Jones, JAX, $5,000 on DraftKings/$6,600 on FanDuel Jones has been the Wide Receiver 1 for Jacksonville in the latter part of the year. The Jaguars must win and he also has some incentive bonuses that kick in if he has another 100-yard game.  

Christian Kirk, JAX, $6,200 on DraftKings/$7,500 on FanDuel You beat the Titans through the air, and Kirk also has incentives that kick in if he has a decent game here.

JuJu Smith-Schuster, KC, $5,400 on DraftKings/$7,000 Juju is cheap and should be targeted the second-highest after Kelce.

Davante Adams, LV, $8,800 on DraftKings/$9,100 We’re hoping the Raiders play this straight. If so, he has 30-point potential again as the featured wideout for Vegas.

TIGHT END

Travis Kelce, KC, $7,900 on DraftKings/$8,200 on FanDuel Kelce needs 13 more receptions to break Zach Ertz’s single season record for Tight Ends. I expect Mahomes to continually pepper him with short passes.  

Evan Engram, JAX, $4,500 on DraftKings/$5,800 on FanDuel Engram hung 42 fantasy points on the Titans in Week 14. I don’t expect a repeat, but double Tight End lineups are intriguing on Saturday.

Darren Waller, LV, $4,400 on DraftKings/$6,000 Waller is back healthy and looked to be developing good chemistry with Stidham. 

Austin Hooper,TEN, $2,700 on DraftKings/$4,800 The Titans’ receivers are either banged up or washed. Hooper is too cheap for potential volume when the Titans are forced to throw.

 

DEFENSE

CHIEFS, $3,200 on DraftKings/$4,400 on FanDuel It would not shock me if we saw Jarrett Stidham plummet back to earth Saturday afternoon.  

JAGUARS, $3,400 on DraftKings/$4,700 on FanDuel The Titans passing game is led by practice-squad Quarterback Joshua Dobbs. He likely won’t pass much, but every throw could result in a big defensive play.

TITANS, $2,200 on DraftKings/$3,800 on FanDuel Full punt, maybe you get a special teams touchdown.

Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS 

Article produced by “JT Hayes”  

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