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Carolina Panthers +3.5 @ New Orleans Saints 41.5
DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE
Panthers VS PASS 26 // VS RUSH 18 // PASS 30 // RUSH 10 // OVERALL 26
Saints VS PASS 11 // VS RUSH 21 // PASS 19 // RUSH 22 // OVERALL 20
SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com – DVOA rankings are based off 2022 numbers.
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Both teams have nothing to play for at this point in the season as their playoff hopes were eliminated last week, however, each squad has young pieces that we should be able to target from a DFS perspective. Lets dig in!
On the NO side, Andy Dalton (4.8K) will remain under center with Alvin Kamara (6.6K) and Taysom Hill (4.8K) sharing duties in the backfield. It is definitely strange to see Kamara’s price just plummet, but then again, it is hard to make sense of what the Saints true goals are with AK. Because of this, I’ll definitely take an underweight approach to the NO backfield and put more emphasis on the pass catchers such as Chris Olave (6.2K), Rashid Shaheed (4.2K), and Juwan Johnson (3.7K).
For the Panthers, it is safe to say Sam Darnold (5.3K) has had the offense sizzling the past 2 weeks having put up 20+ FPTs in those said weeks. I will look for that success to continue against a poor NO defense and get overweight on DJ Moore (6.1K) who has put up 18 or more FPTs in 4 out of the last 5 weeks. I have less interest in the secondary pass catchers such as Terrace Marshall (3.4K), Laviska Shenault (3.1K), and Tommy Tremble (2.5K), but I do not mind them as last in pieces due to their price. D’Onta Foreman (5.2K) and Chuba Hubbard (5K) continue to split the workload so as always, I’ll fade any type of RBBCs.
THE DFS GEMS
Chris Olave, NO – $6,200 on DraftKings. We all saw what Mike Evans just did to this CAR secondary so fire up Olave who has been relatively quiet as of late. Break out performance should definitely be on the radar.
DJ Moore, CAR – $6,100 on DraftKings. As I mentioned above, Moore has posted 18 or more FPTs in 4 out of the last 5 weeks. It is clear that Darnold loves Moore, vice versa.
Rashid Shaheed, NO – $4,200 on DraftKings. It feels like every game Andy Dalton finds Shaheed for a long one so he is definitely in play at this tag. Has produced 10 or more FPTs in his last 3 of 4.
Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS
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