NFL WEEK 18, CHARGERS AT BRONCOS

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LA CHARGERS +2.5 @ DENVER BRONCOS 40

 

DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE

CHARGERS VS PASS 8 // VS RUSH 28 // PASS 22 // RUSH 20 // OVERALL 18

BRONCOS VS PASS 4 // VS RUSH 22 // PASS 28 // RUSH 26 // OVERALL 26

SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com 

 

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MATCHUP SUMMARY

We wont know who the plays from this game will be until Sunday afternoon. If the Ravens lose to the Bengals at 1PM ET, then the Chargers will be locked into the 5th seed regardless if they win or lose. If the Ravens win, they must Win to lock into the 5th seed. Either way, I wont be on Justin Herbert or Chase Daniel here. The Broncos have the 4th ranked passing d DVOA. I will be taking a wait and see approach on Austin Ekeler who just put up a massive 35 DK point performance last week. If the Ravens lose, the Chargers have zero reason to play him. Joshua Kelley would be the main benefactor if Ekeler was to sit out here. Although he is already priced up to 5600 and MUCH prefer spending the extra 500 to get to Najee Harris.

This is the same song and dance as above. We have no idea if this game will even matter. I doubt I get to Keenan Allen or Mike Williams regardless though. If this game doesn’t matter that would elevate Josh Palmer and DeAndre Carter,  but none are exciting options in this low total game.

Russell Wilson is coming off his 2nd 25+ DK point performance in his last 3 starts. I am not believing this long term however and wont be on Wilson this week even at his low 5400 price tag. The RB situation is a complete 50/50 timeshare between Chase Edmonds and Latavius Murray. I will be staying away from this backfield this week even in a awesome matchup.

I prefer Courtland Sutton to Jerry Jeudy based on the 1500 price difference here, but I’m not thrilled with either on this slate. TE Albert Okwuegbunam was back playing 53% of the snaps in week 17. I like him a lot at 2900 this week. Also, if this game doesn’t mean anything for the Chargers, I would LOVE the Broncos DST at only 2500.

THE DFS GEMS 

ALBERT OKWUEGBUNAM, TE – $2,900 on DraftKings. Increased role with Dulcich out for the year.

BRONCOS, DST – $2,500 on DraftKings. LOVE them here if the Ravens lose at 1 ET.

 

Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS 

Article produced by garyuscg14

 

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