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Seattle Seahawks +9.5 @ Kansas City Chiefs 48.5
DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE
Seahawks VS PASS 19 // VS RUSH 28 // PASS 5 // RUSH 24 // OVERALL 11
Chiefs VS PASS 25 // VS RUSH 18 // PASS 1 // RUSH 14 // OVERALL 6
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The Seahawks have now lost 4 of their last 5 games and Geno has thrown 4 interceptions in his last 4 games. This is equal to the number he threw in his first 10 games of the season. Geno attempted 44 passes last week tying his season high but only threw for 238 yards and one touchdown. Kenneth Walker returned last week and played 48 of 48 snaps but was not effective only rushing for 47 yards. He did add in 4 catches for 32 yards in the passing game. RBs have had success at times rushing the ball and the 6.4K price tag is fine for GPPs. Tyler Lockett fractured his hand in the loss last week and will miss some time. DK Metcalf will have to step up and carry this team forward. Metcalf has 8+ targets in his last 5 games with a high of 15 targets for the Raiders a few weeks back. Marquise Goodwin will be leaned on also here and has been playing better as of late. Goodwin caught 5 passes for 95 yards and a touchdown vs the Panthers 2 weeks ago. We could see both tight ends Dissly and Fant involved more as well in the passing game. Fant had the better game last week catching 5 passes for 32 yards and a touchdown.
The Chiefs have not been playing their best football over the last 3 weeks but enter this game as a big favorite and look to get back on track here. Mahomes posted his highest completion percentage of the season last week completing 36 of 41 passes for 336 yards and 2 touchdowns. He also added in his 2-rushing touchdown in the last 3 weeks. There was a lot of talk about Isiah Pacheco last week, but it was Jerick McKinnon putting up 30+ DK points for the 2nd straight week. McKinnon carried the ball 10 times for 52 yards and a touchdown, plus 8 catches for 70 yards and a touchdown in the passing game. Pacheco had a solid game but just couldn’t find the box. 15 carries for 86 yards and 1 catch left him under 10 DK points. The Chiefs look to have all their pass catchers back this week as Hardmen looks to rejoin JuJu, MVS, and Kadarius Toney. Last week Toney was eased back in and only had 1 catch for 5 yards. MVS caught 3 passes for 26 yards and a touchdown. Smith-Schuster tallied double-digit targets for the second straight week catching all 10 for 88 yards. If you can find the salary to get up to Travis Kelce’s big price tag of 8K you will have a major advantage over the position. Kelce caught 10 passes for 105 yards last week and should post another 20+ DK point game this week.
I will be targeting the Chiefs again this week and trying my hardest to get up to Travis Kelce at the tight end position. Last week we saw George Kittle put up a monster game and now Kelce is poised to do the same here. JuJu would be my next favorite option to stack up with Mahomes with McKinnon mixed in as well. Seattle should be playing from behind in this game and forced to pass most of the game making DK Metcalf and Goodwin solid bring-back options here.
THE DFS GEMS
Patrick Mahomes, KC – $8,400 on DraftKings. 29-point implied team total vs a struggling Seahawks team. This should be a smash spot for this Chiefs offense and Mahomes should put up another 30+ point game here.
Travis Kelce, KC – $8,000 on DraftKings. The price tag is high here and should keep his ownership in check. We just saw Kittle put up a monster score vs this defense and now they travel to KC to take on the best Tight End in the league.
Jerick McKinnon, KC – $5,900 on DraftKings. DraftKings kept his price tag under 6K and the Chiefs love getting him involved both in the rushing and passing game and he is seeing RedZone work also.
Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS
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