NFL WEEK 16, COMMANDERS AT 49ERS

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Washington Commanders +6.5 @ San Francisco 49ers 37.5

 

DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE

Commanders VS PASS 14 // VS RUSH 4 // PASS 26 // RUSH 25 // OVERALL 17

49ers VS PASS 6 // VS RUSH 2 // PASS 7 // RUSH 22 // OVERALL 5

SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com – DVOA rankings are based off 2022 numbers.

 

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MATCHUP SUMMARY

Featuring one of the lowest totals of the weekend despite taking place in California, this matchup between the Commanders and 49ers leaves a lot to be desired. As always though, let us dive in to see if we can find any DFS gems!

On the SF side, Brock Purdy (5.5K) has acted as a more than capable game manager making plays when needed. Christian McCaffrey (8.8K) will once again be the usage monster and the safety blanket every QB dreams of playing with. He will likely be one of the most chalky plays on the slate, but rightfully so. George Kittle (5.3K) finally had a breakout game with Purdy under center last week so maybe that is a sign to come as Deebo Samuel (6K) will still be out. Brandon Aiyuk (6.3K), Jauan Jennings (3.7K), and Ray-Ray McCloud (3.4K) will round out the rest of the receiving corps for SF.

The WAS side will be a lot tougher to pick from as they will be led by the struggling Taylor Heinicke (5.2K) and an inefficient backfield of Brian Robinson (5.4K) and Antonio Gibson (5.3K). It is clear Terry McLaurin (6.2K) is one of Heinicke’s favorite targets. I also don’t even mind Jahan Dotson (3.9K) as he is coming off a monster 23.5 FPT performance as well as a 9 target game the week previous. Curtis Samuel (4.4K) and Logan Thomas (3K) will round out the players that make my pool in MME sets.

THE DFS GEMS

Christian McCaffrey,  SF – $8,800 on DraftKings. As I mentioned above, CMC will likely be one of the highest owned players on the slate but rightfully so as the role is undeniable against a porous WAS defense.

George Kittle, SF – $5,300 on DraftKings. Kittle’s performance was aided by a 54 yard bomb last week, but there is no denying the upside with Deebo sidelined.

Jahan Dotson, WAS – $3,900 on DraftKings. Heinicke should be forced to drop back a lot in a trailing script and the targets have been there for Dotson the last two weeks with 6 and 9 respectively. Both games resulted in 15+ FPT performances and is something I would be interested at low ownership.

Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS

Article produced by GLOCKOMA

 

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