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New England Patriots +2.5 @ Minnesota Vikings 42.5
DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE
Patriots VS PASS 8 // VS RUSH 28 // PASS 26 // RUSH 17 // OVERALL 11
Vikings VS PASS 15 // VS RUSH 14 // PASS 19 // RUSH 10 // OVERALL 17
SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com – DVOA rankings are based off 2022 numbers.
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MATCHUP SUMMARY
This game features the lowest total of the day but as always I think we can find some gems to help round out your DFS lineup, especially when the game features a bonafide superstar in Justin Jefferson (8.2K). He will look to bounce back from one of his worst performances on the season where he only caught 3 balls for 33 yards, posting 6.3 FPTs.
The same will go for MIN’s Kirk Cousins (5.6K) who was absolutely annihilated by the Dallas defense last week getting shut out 3-40. Aside from Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielen (4.9K), K.J. Osborn (3.6K), and T.J. Hockenson (5K) round out the receiving corps. Dalvin Cook (7.4K) mans the duties in the backfield and will be someone I am very interested in on the Thanksgiving 3 game slate.
The NE side is a lot less flattering from a DFS perspective as they are led by Mac Jones (5.1K). Jakobi Meyers (5.1K), Kendrick Bourne (3.4K), Tyquan Thornton (3.3K), and Nelson Agholor (3.1K) will be apart of the non star studded cast that Jones has to throw to. I won’t have much interest in the pass catchers on the NE side but will definitely have interest in the run game who is lead by Rhamondre Stevenson (6.4K) and Damien Harris (5.5K) who will be a more contrarian option. Pairing the NE RBs with NE DST (3K) is something I will definitely be considering.
THE DFS GEMS
Justin Jefferson, MIN – $8,200 on DraftKings. Very strong bounce back candidate. NE generally does do a good job of taking away the opposing teams best weapon, but there is no denying JJ’s upside.
Rhamondre Stevenson, NE – $6,400 on DraftKings. NE will look to establish it on the ground in order to win this game and it will be behind the back of Stevenson.
Adam Thielen, MIN – $4,900 on DraftKings. As I mentioned above, since NE does try to take away the opposing teams best weapon (Justin Jefferson), this may result in increased opportunity for Thielen despite the subpar box scores so far this year.
Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS
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