NFL WEEK 1, RAIDERS AT CHARGERS

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LAS VEGAS RAIDERS +3.5 @ LOS ANGELES CHARGERS 52

 

DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE

RAIDERS VS PASS 21 // VS RUSH 9 // PASS 17 // RUSH 25 // OVERALL 21

CHARGERS VS PASS 27 // VS RUSH 19 // PASS 4 // RUSH 14 // OVERALL 12

SOURCE: footballoutsiders.com – DVOA rankings are based off 2021 numbers until we have more data to work with. 

 

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MATCHUP SUMMARY 

The Raiders come into the 2022 season with high hopes following the acquisition of ALL WORLD WR Davante Adams. The Chargers will be without CB JC Jackson for this game, potentially setting up for a shootout. Derek Carr makes for an interesting DFS play this week at only 5900. I would assume that Adams takes a slight hit going from Aaron Rodgers throwing him the ball to Derek Carr, but will still be in the WR1 conversation every week. Hunter Renfroe will operate in the slot and is an easy target for Carr who will be dealing with O line issues. The RB situation in LV isnt good. The Raiders didnt pick up the option for Jacobs and drafted Zamir White. They also have 2 other backs that will handle the third down work. Just a complete mess of a back field for DFS. I will be keeping Darren Waller on the shelf this week as he has the toughest matchup of any of the skill position players here. The Chargers held him to 72 yds in 2 meetings last season.

Is this the year of the Chargers?? They have SOOO much talent on both sides of the ball and are looking to make the leap in 2022. Justin Herbert finished 2021 as the QB2 on the season. He gets an impeccable matchup here versus a Raiders secondary that was complete trash in 2021 and got no better over the offseason. He might be my favorite QB play on the week. Keenan Allen is getting old, and his production is declining, but he will be operating in the slot and provides some dink and dunk protection for Herbert. This offense is the Mike Williams show now as he is coming off career highs in catches and yards. Love him a ton here. Josh Palmer looks to be the other WR we will be able to take some shots on but i wouldnt go crazy as Guyton is still looming. Austin Ekeler is a prime RB1 in almost every matchup and he makes for a great game stack piece here. With Donald Parham still hurt, it looks like Gerald Everett has the TE snaps on lock this week and is also in play at only 3800.

This game has the 2nd highest total on the slate and will be a popular game to stack. I think Herbert will def be more popular than Carr here, so going with Carr/Adams and running it back with Mike Williams and maybe even Austin Ekeler makes a ton of sense here.

 

THE DFS GEMS 

DAVANTE ADAMS, LV – $8,100 on DraftKings. Incredible matchup here. Looking to sustain the target share and productivity he had with Arod. Strong play.

JUSTIN HERBERT, LAC– 7,600 on DraftKings. Finished 2021 as the QB2 on the season. Can he do it again? Pristine matchup here.

MIKE WILLIAMS,  LAC – $6,600 on DraftKings. Clear WR1 in this offense and huge big play upside. 

 

Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS 

Article produced by garyuscg14

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