NFL Best Bets – Week 3

10/13 last week and 3/3 on Thursday Night Football. My picks are free money. Bet em, share em, and let me know how much you love em.

Joe Burrow is trying to become the fourth quarterback to ever go from 0-2 to Super Bowl. Credit:  Kareem Elgazzar/The Enquirer / USA TODAY NETWORK

Cincinnati Bengals (-260) @ New York Jets (+210)

This is the last call for Joe Burrow; I expressed concern in Week 1 but didn’t think it would come to this. He’s let me down two weeks in a row and has the perfect opportunity to get right this week. This is reminiscent of how Kansas City started last season, and while they were fine by the postseason, I lost a lot of money on KC Spreads in 2021. So letting history be my teacher, if the Bengals don’t cover this week, I will not bet on Joe Burrow again in the regular season.

The Jets are coming off a win, but it was one of the most absurd endings to a game ever. The Jets — or any team for that matter — couldn’t pull that off if given a thousand chances. So good for them, but I don’t believe there is any reason to put stock in that game. They’re still the Jets, they’re still going to come in last place in their division, and they will be lucky to record six wins.

As I stated earlier, the Bengals need to cover, not just because that’s what I’m betting, but because there is no reason for a Super Bowl quarterback not to be able to beat the New York Jets by a touchdown. So I wish I could confidently say this is the easiest bet of the week, but Joe has me worried.

Cincinnati -6.5 (-105)
Tom Brady is 3 – 1 against Aaron Rodgers. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Green Bay Packers (+100) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-120)

As a possible NFC title game, this is the premier matchup of Week 3. Bettors will be able to glean a lot off this game, as questions surround both teams through two weeks.

Tampa Bay has had issues scoring, which can be attributed to injuries. Their defense, however, has been one of the best in the league. They held the Cowboys to three points and the Saints to 10. This week they are going up against a much tougher offense, and we’ll be able to see just what this D is capable of.

I’m not sure what to make of the Packers. Their Week 1 loss did not cause concern as it’s typical for Rodgers to struggle in Week 1. Week 2 was a cakewalk, as everyone knows Rodger’s owns the Bears. He finally meets a worthy adversary this week in Tampa Bay.

The offense will be the problem for the Buccaneers in this one. Green Bay won’t be able to light up the scoreboard on Tampa’s defense, but they’ll be able to score more than a weaponless Tom Brady.

The Buccs have a tough few weeks ahead of them, and if they cannot return to full health, they will have problems in the standings.

Green Bay (+100) & Under 42.5 Points (-110)


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