NFL Best Bets – Saturday – Divisional Round

Jaguars @ Chiefs

Trevor Lawrence threw for 288 yards last week against the Chargers. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

The Jacksonville Jaguars are the hottest team in football, winners of six straight — 5-1 at the spread. Now they have the pleasure of taking on the number-one team in the AFC. However, after mounting one of the greatest comebacks of all time last week, they have to feel invincible.

I would not have thought the Jaguars would stand a chance in this game two weeks ago, but the way things are going for them, they feel like the Bengals of last year. Talented, underestimated and doing the most living on borrowed time.

An outright win might be far-fetched, but this spread feels like a joke. Not only is Jacksonville a competitive team that will keep this game close, but the Chiefs are the worst team in the league at the spread. The Chiefs win, but they do not cover. This is the easiest bet of the weekend.

Jacksonville +9.5 (-110)

Giants @ Eagles

Daniel Jones legged out  78 yard last week against the Vikings. Mandatory Credit: Matt Krohn-USA TODAY Sports

Danny Dimes finds himself in the divisional round, taking on a team he has already lost to this season.

While people love the narrative that it’s hard to beat a team three times in one year, that simply isn’t true. Teams that have the opportunity to go 3-0 against a division rival win more times than not. 

However, it’s worth noting that the Week 18 matchup was not a great sample, as the Giants sat most of their starters — including Jones & Barkley. 

All of that aside, the Eagles are simply a better team, and they should clobber this New York squad. Eight points is a large spread, but Philly can handle it.

Philadelphia -7.5 (-110)

Vanilla Vick will have a field day against the Philadelphia defense. The Eagles have the best pass defense in the NFL, but they are the third worst at defending the QB sneak and have an overall midtier run defense. Both Jones and Barkley should hit their props today.

Saquon Barkley Over 65.5 Rushing Yards
Daniel Jones Over 42.5 Rushing Yards

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