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New Orleans Saints -3.5 @ Atlanta Falcons 40
DVOA RANKINGS // DEFENSE // OFFENSE
Saints VS PASS 4 // VS RUSH 1 // PASS 20 // RUSH 25 // OVERALL 14
Falcons VS PASS 26 // VS RUSH 30 // PASS 25 // RUSH 31 // OVERALL 30
The Saints enter this matchup with the Falcons needing a win for a possible playoff spot. The Saints offense hasn’t looked the best only scoring 30 points combined over their last 3 games. Marquez Callaway led the team in targets last week with 10 catching 6 for 97 yards. Alvin Kamara was not productive on the ground but did catch 5 passes for 68 yards and a touchdown. They get a good matchup with a Falcons defense that ranks 24th in QB rating and 27th in completion percentage. The Falcons have the worst pressure rating and gave up over 5 yards per carry on the ground last week. Taysom Hill finally gets a smash spot this week and Alvin Kamara is also firmly in play. AJ Tarrell has been one of the top cornerbacks this year and should match up with Callaway most of the game.
The Falcons are looking to spoil the Saints party but are up against one of the top defenses in the league. Matt Ryan got sacked 5 times last week and now faces a front 7 of the Saints that had 7 sacks last week. The Saints should own the line of scrimmage in this matchup and pressure Ryan most of the game. Kyle Pitts is 58 yards from breaking Mike Ditka’s rookie tight end record this week. Russell Gage has been one of Ryan’s main targets since the loss of Ridley. I expect the Falcons to be down in this game and Gage should see a fair amount of targets in this matchup.
THE DFS GEMS
Taysom Hill, NO – $6,200 on DraftKings. Smash spot for Hill vs a defense that allowed Josh Allen to rush for 81 yards and 2 touchdowns.
Alvin Kamara, NO – $8,300 on DraftKings. The Falcons allowed over 5 yards per carry to the Bills last week and the Saints should lean on Kamara in this must-win game.
Russell Gage, ATL – $5,600 on DraftKings. Gage has been the preferred target of Ryan and the Falcons should be behind in this matchup.
Make sure to check back on Sunday to see where the experts are at — CORE PLAYS
Article produced by SNYDER
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