MLB PrizePicks – Cole, Tatis, Marsh, and More

Gerrit Cole Under 7.5 Strikeouts

Gerrit Cole has 149 Ks on the year. Mandatory Credit: Tom Horak-USA TODAY Sports

Tampa Bay will try to close out the sweep today in the Bronx, but it will be challenging as Gerrit Cole makes the start. This season, Cole is thriving under the bright lights of Yankee Stadium; he enters play with a record of 9-2 and a 2.64 ERA.

While he may pick up a win today, he will not notch eight strikeouts. Cole has accomplished double-digit Ks in two of his last five starts, but it was against the Royals and Rockies, two teams with an incredibly high strikeout rate. The Rays rarely strike out eight times in a game, and that number is even lower since returning from the All-Star break. So unless Cole pitches a complete game, there is no way he eclipse seven Ks.

Tony Gonsolin + Brandon Williamson Over 0.5 First Inning Runs

Over Tony Gonsolin last ten starts, only the Reds and Rangers have scored a first inning run off him. Mandatory Credit: Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Brandon Williamson has shown impressive performance in the first inning, with only the Royals, Dodgers, and Cubs managing to score on him within the first three outs across his thirteen starts this season. Today, he makes the start in Chicago, and given how potent their offense has been of late, he’s exceptionally liable to give up a first-inning run.

On the other hand, Tony Gonsolin has a solid track record of being less susceptible to first-inning runs. Despite this, it’s always good to have insurance in place. There seems to be a strong correlation between Gonsolin allowing first-inning runs and the offensive strength of the opposing teams. As he faces Oakland, there is confidence that he will be able to hold things down effectively, but the game remains unpredictable, and anything can happen.

Fernando Tatis Jr. Under 2.5 Total Bases

Fernando Tatis Jr. enters play with 18 home runs. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

Many bettors are likely to place their bets on the over, anticipating a home run from Tatis Jr. Nevertheless, he has not delivered a strong performance at Coors Field in this series, and it would be unwise to bet against this streak. Across the first two games of the series, Tatis Jr. has managed only one hit in ten at-bats, resulting in just two total bases.

While the high altitude of Coors Field may contribute to the elevated expectations, considering his recent form, it appears that continuing to fade him is the way to go.

Brandon Marsh Over 0.5 Total Bases

We’ve got an exciting opportunity here. Brandon Marsh might be going through a slump, but the bet merely requiring one base is almost comical. Even if it were one base, it would still be worth considering, but at half a base, it’s an easy bet to make. Although Marsh has struggled to get a hit in the last three games, we should remember that he had a five-game hit streak before that. He can turn things around and deliver a strong performance. Adding him as the fourth leg is a no brainer.


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