MLB DFS DAILY BREAKDOWN – 9/26/2023

We have a massive 11 game slate on tap for this evening!!! We need to watch the weather in the MIA/NYM and ARI/CHW games!!!! Let’s dive into the MLB DFS Daily Breakdown!

Sep 3, 2023; Houston, Texas, USA; New York Yankees starting pitcher Michael King (34) delivers a pitch during the third inning against the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park. Mandatory Credit: Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

4 Pitchers to consider on this slate: 

  1. Kevin Gausman – 11.5DK – So much still on the line for the Blue Jays here, so I expect a full workload for Gausman in this pristine matchup at home against the Yankees who have been officially eliminated from the postseason. Over the last 5 weeks, he has a 3.87 xFIP, 31% k rate and a 11% walk rate. The Yankees have struck out the 6th most vs righties over the last 2 weeks and been a bottom 5 offense. Will be the highest owned pitcher on tonight’s slate.
  2. Zach Eflin – 10.3DK – Eflin has been amazing this season and over the past 5 weeks. He has a incredible 2.55 xFIP, 34% k rate and a 4% walk rate. He gets a Boston team that has floundered a bit over the last 2 weeks, striking out the 3rd most versus righties and being a bottom 10 offense. Not many pitchers in the mid range that I like today…
  3. Michael King – 6.0DK –  King is coming off a massive 37 DK point performance and is still only 6K. What are you doing Draftkings?? he is about 3K too cheap. Over the last 5 weeks, he has a slate low 2.30 xFIP, massive 38% k rate and a miniscule 4% walk rate. I will be playing him in MOST lineups tonight. 
  4. Jose Urena – 5.0DK – Looking at his last 5 week numbers, I was shocked. He has a respectable 3.70 xFIP, 23% k rate and only a 3% walk rate. This Arizona offense has really cooled off and I like him a bit here.
Sep 23, 2023; Los Angeles, California, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers second baseman Mookie Betts (50) hits a two run RBI double against the San Francisco Giants during the eighth inning at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

5 Stacks to consider on this slate:

  1. Los Angeles Dodgers – Will be MEGA on this slate, but for very good reason. This Rockies pitching staff is the worst in the bigs. Mookie is still trying to catch Acuna for the MVP, and the rest of this team has been smashing righties. The whole lineup is in play here. Heyward might be my favorite as he will likely have less ownership. This is the 2nd game of a double header and we COULD get a watered down lineup.
  2. Chicago Cubs –  Bryce Elder has been very lucky this season at times, but also been shelled quite a few times. They are trying to stay in the WC and have a ton to play for here. This is also the first game for Dansby back in Atlanta. Like the whole lineup here.
  3. Milwaukee Brewers – I like the Brew Crew quite a bit on tonight’s slate. Thompson has real issues versus right-handed bats and the Brewers will likely roll out 8 of them tonight. My only concern is that they have nothing to play for as they have the division locked up.
  4. Seattle Mariners – Javier is coming off the game of his life at home against the Orioles. This is a clear let down spot on the road against the Mariners. He has still allowed over a 224 ISO and over a 311 WOBA to BOTH sides of the plate over the last month.
  5. San Diego Padres – Kyle Harrison hasn’t been good at all over the last month. He is allowing over a 231 ISO and 323 WOBA to BOTH sides of the plate. Love this whole lineup here tonight.

Thanks for checking out my MLB DFS Daily Breakdown!! UncleT an I have this article everyday Monday thru Friday!!

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Most of my research for this article comes from https://www.fangraphs.com/

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