MLB DFS DAILY BREAKDOWN – 8/29/2023

We have a another MASSIVE 12 game slate on tap for tonight! There are zero weather issues tonight!! Let’s dive into the MLB DFS Daily Breakdown!

MLB DFS DAILY BREAKDOWN
Aug 2, 2023; Chicago, Illinois, USA; Cincinnati Reds starting pitcher Brandon Williamson (55) throws the ball against the Chicago Cubs during the first inning at Wrigley Field. Mandatory Credit: David Banks-USA TODAY Sports

5 Pitchers to consider on this slate: 

  1. Pablo Lopez – 10.8DK – Like last night, I will most likely be prioritizing expensive bats tonight, but Lopez has been awesome this season, and I think he is going to be lower owned on tonight’s slate. Over the last 5 weeks, he has a 2.99 xFIP, 26% k rate and a miniscule 3% walk rate. Like being overweight on him in MME tonight.
  2. George Kirby – 9.7DK – I’m not really a Kirby guy, but this spot is as amazing as it gets for him tonight. I do think he will be one of the 2 highest owned pitchers on this slate, but for very good reason. Over the last 5 weeks, he has an incredible 2.96 xFIP, 27% k rate and a 2% walk rate. Basically the same numbers as Lopez, which is why Lopez is a great tournament option tonight at 1/4 the %.
  3. Brandon Williamson – 6.5DK –  Incredible matchup for Williamson here in SF against the Giants. Over the last month, they have struck out the 5th most of any team in the league. Over the last 5 weeks, Williamson has a 3.69 xFIP, 26% k rate and a 7% walk rate. He has 4 games over 20 DK in his last 7 starts. Simply way too cheap here.
  4. Cole Ragans – 6.0DK – Almost a lock button play here. DraftKings hates this dude as he is about 3K too cheap here. Easy plug and play tonight. Over the last 5 weeks, he has the highest swinging strike rate on the slate at a massive 15.5% along with a slate low 2.28 xFIP, slate high 36% k rate and a 6% walk rate. All in spot here.
  5. Zack Thompson – 5.6DK – He is the third guy who is simply mis priced. He should be around 8500. Over the last 5 weeks, he has the 2nd lowest xFIP on the slate at 2.70 along with a 29% k rate and a 4% walk rate. This SD team couldnt even get to Waino last night. I will be way overweight here. I think he is the GPP winner tonight at ZERO ownership.
Aug 28, 2023; Denver, Colorado, USA; Atlanta Braves right fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. (13) reacts after stealing second in the seventh inning against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field. Mandatory Credit: Isaiah J. Downing-USA TODAY Sports

5 Stacks to consider on this slate:

  1. Atlanta Braves – BACK TO THE PILEEEEEE!!! We have a few awesome cheap pitcher options on tonight’s slate, which is going to make it easy to play all the STUD bats!!! The Braves came through for us last night with the exception of Albies. I think he sees a massive bounce back game for us here. The lefties are def the priority here. So Albies, Olson, Rosario and Harris. Acuna had a monster game last night and is back to being the MVP favorite here.
  2. Houston Astros –  Yall know I love to ride hot teams, and no team is hotter right now than the Houston Astros. They have nuked in b2b games and they get Bello tonight, who I think is very overrated. His swing and miss is almost non-existent. 
  3. Colorado Rockies – I KINDA like Morton here, but I also like attacking him. He has been on a roll as of late, which is why I like him a bit, but this is still Coors field. Blackmon, Tovar, McMahon, Diaz and Jones are the priorities here. Don’t forget Hunter Goodman. 
  4. Seattle Mariners – The Mariners just keep on rolling. They get Waldichuck here and the awful As bullpen. Jrod, Teo, France, Raleigh and Moore are the priorities here.
  5. Los Angeles Dodgers – The Dodgers absolutely OWN Merrill Kelly over a massive 222 plate appearances. They have a enormous 371 WOBA along with a massive 485 xSLG with only a 18% k rate. Muncy, Smith, Freeman, Taylor, Mookie and Rosario are the primary targets here.

Thanks for checking out my MLB DFS Daily Breakdown!! UncleT an I have this article everyday Monday thru Friday!!

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Most of my research for this article comes from https://www.fangraphs.com/

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