MLB DFS DAILY BREAKDOWN – 8/28/2023

We have a MASSIVE 12 game slate on tap for tonight! There are zero weather issues tonight!! Let’s dive into the MLB DFS Daily Breakdown!

MLB DFS DAILY BREAKDOWN
Aug 22, 2023; Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA; San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Kyle Harrison (45) throws a pitch during the second inning against the Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. Mandatory Credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

5 Pitchers to consider on this slate: 

  1. Kevin Gausman – 11.2DK – Will be a very popular option here tonight at home against the Nationals. I am going to prioritize stacks and bats tonight over pitching, so I will be underweight on Gausman here.
  2. Blake Snell – 10.8DK – Another chalky high priced option who I will most likely be underweight on on tonight. His walk rate over the last 5 weeks is 15%.
  3. Grayson Rodriguez – 7.5DK –  Is def the chalkiest pitcher on the slate tonight. He is hard for me to pass on here though at home against the awful White Sox. Over the last 5 weeks, he has a 4.12 xFIP, 21% k rate and a 7% walk rate. He has the 5th highest swinging strike rate on the slate.
  4. Kyle Harrison – 6.5DK – Almost a lock button play for me here tonight at home against the Reds. He is the Giants top prospect and number 20 overall in MLB. He has 109 ks in 67 innings in the minors this season, so he does have massive upside here. He also had a MASSIVE 20% swinging strike rate in his first appearance along with a 31% k rate.
  5. Zack Greinke – 6.0DK – I know this is gross, but he is at home facing the Pirates. I think he Houdini’s himself into a 15 dk point start here.
Aug 27, 2023; San Francisco, California, USA; Atlanta Braves designated hitter Marcell Ozuna (20) waves on his teammate as he scores a run against the San Francisco Giants during the fifth inning at Oracle Park. Mandatory Credit: Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

5 Stacks to consider on this slate:

  1. Atlanta Braves – OOOOOO Boy!! My Braves are in Coors for the next 3 games!! It is going to be REAL HARD to full 5 man the Braves this week as Olson and Acuna are both 7k, and everyone else is 5K and above other than Lopez, Rosario and Arcia. They have a massive 7.5 implied run total which is 2 full runs above the next highest. I will be finding a way to get overweight here and playing a bunch of cheaper pitchers. We should get Pillar and Grissom in the lineup tonight facing a lefty over Rosario and Lopez.
  2. San Diego Padres –  Happy Adam Wainwright day!! We have been stacking against Waino in EVERY start this season and it’s been very profitable for us!! Love this whole lineup here, but really like HA-DONG!!!
  3. Baltimore Orioles – Facing the awful Michael Kopech here at home. He has allowed over a 219 ISO and over a 380 WOBA to BOTH sides of the plate over the last month. He also has a disgusting 20% walk rate. He also has the highest hr/9 of any pitcher on the slate tonight. BOMBS away!!
  4. Texas Rangers – The Rangers get the awful Tylor Megill and the even worse Mets bullpen. Megill has especially been awful against lefties, so they are def the focus here. I do also love Semien and Garver here though.
  5. Seattle Mariners – Seattle has been absolutely NUKING the last week or so. Tonight, they get the awful Kyle Muller and the even worse Athletics bullpen. Love this whole lineup tonight!!!

Thanks for checking out my MLB DFS Daily Breakdown!! UncleT an I have this article everyday Monday thru Friday!!

Stop by our MLB Playbook 2 hours before lock to see where we landed!! https://runpuresports.com/mlb/playbook/

Also stop by our MLB Cores page 1 hour prior to lock!! https://runpuresports.com/mlb/core-plays/

Most of my research for this article comes from https://www.fangraphs.com/

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