MLB DFS DAILY BREAKDOWN – 7/4/2023

We have a nice little  5 game slate on tap for tonight!!  I am not seeing any weather issues!! Let’s dive into the MLB DFS Daily Breakdown!

MLB DFS DAILY BREAKDOWN
Jun 15, 2023; Arlington, Texas, USA; Los Angeles Angels starting pitcher Shohei Ohtani (17) pitches in the fifth inning against the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

3 Pitchers to consider on this slate: 

  1. Shohei Ohtani – 11.5DK – Not looking to be all that popular on tonight’s slate. Over the last 5 weeks, he is sporting a 3.62 xFIP, 30% strikeout rate and a 8% walk rate.
  2. Lucas Giolito – 9.2DK – Lucas has been really good over his last 5 starts. He has a 3.93 xFIP along with a 30% striekout rate and a 7% walk rate. The blue Jays have also struck out the 2nd most vs righties over the last 2 weeks. Should also be lower owned on this slate.
  3. Tarik Skubal – 7.2DK – Coming off the IL making his first start since August 2022. Gets a plum matchup here at home against the Athletics. He went 68 pitches in his last AAA start and should get to 85ish here.
Jul 3, 2023; Cleveland, Ohio, USA; Atlanta Braves left fielder Eddie Rosario (8) and center fielder Michael Harris II (23) and right fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. (13) celebrate after the Braves beat the Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports

3 Stacks to consider on this slate:

  1. Los Angeles Dodgers – Enormous 5.8 implied total for the Dodgers tonight facing Luis Ortiz. He really struggles with left-handed bats as he has allowed a 233 ISO and a 472 WOBA vs them this season. Freeman, Muncy, Peralta, Heyward and Outman are the priorities here.
  2. Atlanta Braves –  Short slate with limited options. The Braves have the most powerful offense in baseball, so I dont hate taking a shot on them here. Bieber is allowing a massive 58% HC vs lefties this season. Rosario, Harris, Olson and Albies are def the priorities here.
  3. Detroit Tigers – Again, limited offense on this night slate. JP Sears is a decent pitcher but their pen has been AWFUL. Also, this Tigers lineup has a 229 ISO and a 384 WOBA vs lefties this season. Vierling, Torkelson, Ibanez and Rogers are the priorities.

Thanks for checking out my MLB DFS Daily Breakdown!! UncleT an I have this article everyday Monday thru Friday!!

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Most of my research for this article comes from https://www.fangraphs.com/

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