MLB DFS DAILY BREAKDOWN – 8/1/2023

Enormous 14 game slate on tap for tonight!!!  We once again have weather issues in the Coors field game where they played in pouring rain ALL night last night!!!!! It is also trade deadline day!! 6PM ET!! Let’s dive into the MLB DFS Daily Breakdown!

MLB DFS DAILY BREAKDOWN
Jul 26, 2023; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Spencer Strider (99) throws a pitch during the first inning against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Paul Rutherford-USA TODAY Sports

5 Pitchers to consider on this slate: 

  1. Spencer Strider – 12.5DK – Projected to be the highest owned pitcher on the slate tonight. Albeit, I do expect ownership to be VERY spread out. I think he comes in about 25-30% here. He is AVERAGING 25.4 DK points on the season and has the highest ceiling on the slate due to his massive strikeout rate. This is def a tough test for him though against Ohtani and company. He has double digit strikeouts in 5 of his last 6 games. he also has a MASSIVE 9.5 k prop with heavy juice on the over. Elite play here.
  2. Zach Eflin – 10.3DK – I will continue to attack the Yankees. Over the last month, they have struck out the 7th most vs RHP and been a bottom 10 offense. Eflin is coming off a dud against Miami, but I am expecting a bounce back here. Over the last 5 weeks, he has a 25% k rate, 1% walk rate and a 3.18 xFIP.
  3. Justin Steele – 9.1DK –  I like what I have seen from Steele this season. Over the last 5 weeks, he has a 3.37 xFIP, 23% k rate and a 4% walk rate. Since the ASB, the Reds have struck out the 8th most in the league and been a bottom 5 offense versus lefties.
  4. Alex Cobb – 8.2DK – I wanted to go all in on him last night and then he got scratched. Over the last 5 weeks, he has a 3.40 xFIP, 21% k rate and a 6% walk rate.
  5. Johan Oviedo – 6.2DK – Absolutely LOVE Oviedo tonight. He gets Detroit at home here who has struck out the 13th most over the last 2 weeks, and been a bottom 5 offense.
Jul 22, 2023; Arlington, Texas, USA; Los Angeles Dodgers first baseman Freddie Freeman (5) hits a single in the first inning against the Texas Rangers at Globe Life Field. Mandatory Credit: Tim Heitman-USA TODAY Sports

5 Stacks to consider on this slate:

  1. Atlanta Braves – Man, the Braves really put up a stinker last night, but we are going back to the pile here tonight!! This team absolutely murders LHP. 8 of the 9 guys in the projected lineup have ISO’s north of 219 vs them this season. They have a 259 ISO and a 390 WOBA overall against them this season. Ozuna and Arcia have ISO’s over 300…. We should also get a cheap bat in the lineup tonight with Kevin Pillar over Rosario.
  2. Tampa Bay Rays –  I think the Rays offense is finally waking up the last few days. Rodon has been terrible to start the year. He has been bad to both sides of the plate and this Rays team has a 200 ISO and a 334 woba vs lefties this season. Diaz, Franco, Ramirez and Paredes are the priorities. 
  3. Texas Rangers – This is a bullpen game for the White Sox, and they are selling everyone at the deadline. I wish Seager was back as the offense hasnt looked the same since he went on the IL, but I still like them here regardless.
  4. New York Mets – The Mets get Greinke and the awful Royals pen at home here. This projected lineup has a 237 ISO and a 360 WOBA vs righties over the last 30 days. Nimmo, Lindor, Alonso and Alvarez are the priorities.
  5. Los Angeles Dodgers – Ken Waldichuck and the awful Athletics pen is coming into LA here. O BOY!! Mookie Betts is my favorite solo bat on the slate as he has a MASSIVE 398 ISO and 447 WOBA vs lefties this season. Freddie Freeman is my next favorite as he has a massive 341 ISO and 447 WOBA vs lefties this season. He will likely be way low owned too in the LvL matchup here.

Thanks for checking out my MLB DFS Daily Breakdown!! UncleT an I have this article everyday Monday thru Friday!!

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Most of my research for this article comes from https://www.fangraphs.com/

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