MLB DFS DAILY BREAKDOWN – 6/21/2023

We have a tiny 6 game main slate on tap for tonight!! We are going to have to monitor the weather in the SEA/NYY game!! Let’s dive into the MLB DFS Daily Breakdown!

Akron RubberDucks pitcher Gavin Williams throws a third-inning pitch against Erie, Thursday, April 6, 2023.
Rubberducks Opener 3

3 Pitchers to consider on this slate: 

  1. Luis Castillo – 11.1DK – We def need to monitor the weather for this play. He is my favorite pitcher on the slate tonight. He will also be the chalkiest if the weather holds. This Yankees offense has the 2nd lowest WRC+ vs righties over the last 2 weeks. He has the highest swinging strike rate on the slate at a massive 18.4%.
  2. Yu Darvish- 8.7DK – Will likely be the 2nd highest owned pitcher on the slate. I don’t normally like playing a chalky Darvish…I prefer to go down in price than play him here. Plus the Giants don’t strike out (6th fewest in the split last 2 weeks).
  3. Gavin Williams – 5.7DK – MLB’s 16th ranked prospect and the prized Jewel of the Guardians Organization. Gets an incredible MLB debut here against the hapless Athletics. Gavin posted a massive 33% strikeout rate in his 9 AAA starts this season and has an ERA under 3. Lock and load play for me. 
Jun 18, 2023; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Los Angeles Angels center fielder Mike Trout (27) celebrates with designated hitter Shohei Ohtani (17) after hitting a home run during the fifth inning at Kauffman Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

3 Stacks to consider on this slate:

  1. Los Angeles Angels – Michael Grove is allowing a massive 270+ ISO and 345+ WOBA to both sides of the plate. He is also allow MASSIVE HC at 93EV which is the highest of any pitcher going today. He is also allowing a massive 16% barrell rate.
  2. Seattle Mariners –  Brito isn’t good at all, and especially not versus righties. He is allowing a massive 280 ISO and 380 WOBA versus right-handed bats. 
  3. Los Angeles Dodgers – I like picking on Ohtani here. He hasnt quite been himself on the mound the last month or so. He is allowing a 175 ISO and 380 WOBA versus lefties over the last month with only a 16% strikeout rate. This Dodgers team is projected to have 6 lefties.

Thanks for checking out my MLB DFS Daily Breakdown!! UncleT an I have this article everyday Monday thru Friday!!

Stop by our MLB Playbook 2 hours before lock to see where we landed!! https://runpuresports.com/mlb/playbook/

Also stop by our MLB Cores page 1 hour prior to lock!! https://runpuresports.com/mlb/core-plays/

Most of my research for this article comes from https://www.fangraphs.com/

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