MLB DFS DAILY BREAKDOWN – 5/30/2023

Let’s dive into the MLB DFS Daily Breakdown!  We have a MASSIVE 13 game slate on tap for tonight with zero weather issues!! Let’s Dive into the Breakdown!!

May 17, 2023; Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Boston Red Sox starting pitcher Brayan Bello (66) pitches against the Seattle Mariners during the third inning at Fenway Park. Mandatory Credit: Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

5 Pitchers to consider on this slate: 

  1. Shane McClanahan – 11.4DK – MASSIVE price tag on Shane here but he has been AWESOME this season. He has the highest swinging strike rate on the slate at a massive 16.1%. It is going to be cool in Wrigley again with a slight wind blowing in. I still doubt I will be overweight here due to the massive price tag.
  2. Zac Gallen – 10.7DK – Not sure where he comes in ownership wise, but as of this writing it looks like he will be the chalkiest pitcher on the slate. I really wanted to use him here as he has been NAILS at home this season. He is allowing only a 169 woba at home vice a 322 woba on the road. In 35 innings at home he has only allowed 3 ER vice 19 ER on the road in 31 innings. If he is the chalkiest pitcher on the slate, I will have to look elsewhere though…
  3. Logan Gilbert – 10.2DK – Gilbert has some of the best metrics on the slate. He has a slate low 3.03 xFIP along with a 30% strikeout rate and a miniscule 4% walk rate. Tough matchup here against the Yankees and Aaron Judge, but he is at home which I like.
  4. Yusei Kikuchi – 8.4DK – Here me out here. If you look at his game log, your prolly like wth is he recommending him? This is purely a matchup play here. The Brewers have been AWFUL versus lefties striking out the MOST in the league since 4/29 and have been the worst offense in baseball. Kikuchi has had swinging strike rates of 16%, 12% and 18.8% over his last 3 starts, just against VERY tough competition in TBR, BAL and ATL.
  5. Brayan Bello – 7.0DK – Its Bello day!!! Guy has been super consistent recently and now gets the Reds at home. He has a 3.70 xFIP along with a 24% strikeout rate and a 7% walk rate.
May 24, 2023; Cumberland, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves second baseman Ozzie Albies (1) watches after hitting a sacrifice fly ball to drive in the game winning run against the Los Angeles Dodgers during the ninth inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

5 Stacks to consider on this slate:

  1. Atlanta Braves – The Braves FINALLY get a lefty!!!! The surely disappointed everyone in the DFS streets last night after their pitiful showing. This is a HUGE bounce back spot for them. JP Sears has given up 12 homers and is averaging 2 HR/9 which is third most on the slate. Ozzie Albies and Orlando Arcia are priority plays here. Both smash lefties.
  2. Los Angeles Dodgers –  Going right back to the Dodgers tonight. They are facing and awful Jake Irvin. He is absolutely CHEEKS versus left handed bats as he has a 6.23 xFIP and is allowing 2.13 HR/9 versus them.
  3. St. Louis Cardinals – It’s going to be hot in STL today with the highs getting to 85 degrees at game time. The Cards absolutely OWN Greinke. In 139 Plate appearances, they have a 352 xWoba and a 522 xSLG. 1 interesting nugget. Arenado is 22/82 off him but has ZERO homers. Let’s target Goldy, Contreras and all the lefties here.
  4. Arizona Diamondbacks – Another absolute NUKE spot here. The Dbacks absolutely OWN Freeland. in 178 plate appearances, they has a 392 xWoba and a 557 xSLG. A lot of that was in coors, but still, lets start our lineups with Walker, Longoria, and Marte.
  5. Tampa Bay Rays – They disappointed me yesterday when they were all sub 8% on a small slate. They will def be sub 8% again here. I don’t think Hendricks is any good and want to always have some TB as they are one of the premier offenses in MLB.

Thanks for checking out my MLB DFS Daily Breakdown!! UncleT an I have this article everyday Monday thru Friday!!

Stop by our MLB Playbook 2 hours before lock to see where we landed!! https://runpuresports.com/mlb/playbook/

Also stop by our MLB Cores page 1 hour prior to lock!! https://runpuresports.com/mlb/core-plays/

Most of my research for this article comes from https://www.fangraphs.com/

SIGN UP using promo code GARY15 for 15% off your monthly package FOR LIFE! It also includes SABERSIM!!

OTHER GREAT ARTICLES

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *