MLB DFS DAILY BREAKDOWN – 5/17/2023

Let’s dive into the MLB DFS Daily Breakdown!  We have a nice 7 game main slate on tap for tonight with ZERO weather issues!!

Spencer Strider Pitching. MLB DFS Breakdown
May 6, 2023; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Spencer Strider (99) throws against the Baltimore Orioles in the first inning at Truist Park. Mandatory Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

3 Pitchers to consider on this slate: 

  1. Spencer Strider – 12.0DK – Just play the man. He is the best pitcher in MLB right now and has a slate low 2.47 xFIP, incredibly low .39 HR/9 and an incredible 20.3% swinging strike rate. For comparison, Gerrit Cole only has a 10.4% swinging strike rate on the season. I will be fading Cole for Strider tonight.
  2. Corbin Burnes – 8.6DK – I absolutely LOVE Burnes tonight. I know the Cardinals have been hitting RHP while I was gone, but Corbin just owns this Cardinals team. He has a massive 30% strikeout rate and a 283 xWOBA in 178 PA against this team. All systems go for me on him tonight.
  3. J. P. France – 7.9DK – The Rookie is facing the Cubs here at home who have struck out the 4th most versus RHP over the last 2 weeks. He does have a 100% LOB and .156 Babip against though which usually means negative regression is coming.. I still like him here though. 
May 16, 2023; New York City, New York, USA; Tampa Bay Rays outfielders Randy Arozarena (56), Manuel Margot (13) and Jose Siri (22) celebrate after beating the New York Mets 8-5 at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

3 Stacks to consider on this slate:

  1. Tampa Bay Rays – I will continue to hammer the Rays this season no matter who they are facing. They have been the best offense in baseball and they are all projecting to be under 10% owned tonight. The whole lineup is in play for me. The projected lineup has a 243 ISO and 352 Woba versus RHP this season.
  2. Seattle Mariners –  I am going right back to the Mariners after their stinker last night. Bello has the 2nd highest EV allowed on the slate to go along with a 52% hard hit rate. Bello has been reverse splits so far this season, so I def like the righties as well here!
  3. Chicago White Sox – I have no clue what a Peyton Battenfield is but he has the highest EV allowed on the slate at 93.9 MPH to go along with the highest Hard Hit % at 53%.

Thanks for checking out my MLB DFS Daily Breakdown!! UncleT an I have this article everyday Monday thru Friday!!

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Most of my research for this article comes from https://www.fangraphs.com/

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