MLB Best Bets – Yankees, Marlins, & Luzardo

Cardinals @ Marlins

Jesus Luzardo has allowed two runs or less in seven of his last ten starts. Mandatory Credit: Rich Storry-USA TODAY Sports

Great betting spot here today as the Marlins host an overrated St. Louis squad. After enduring a disappointing sweep by the Orioles, the Marlins are determined to regain their winning momentum. Due to that losing skid, they find themselves in a tie with the Giants for the top slot in the National League Wild Card race.

Despite being ranked as the third-worst team in the NL, the Cardinals emerged as the favorites for this game, primarily due to Miles Mikolas being on the mound. While Mikolas has displayed several commendable performances recently, Jesus Luzardo has looked far stronger of late. Over his last five games, Luzardo has given up four total runs with three shutouts in that run.

The Marlins’ offense put up strong performances despite their recent sweep. However, the Marlins’ bullpen must improve and deliver a more consistent performance to fully capitalize on this opportunity.

With Miami vying to string together some wins and secure their position in the National League Wild Card race, the odds favor them. Jesus Luzardo’s impressive form and the Marlins’ resilient lineup should prove profitable in this matchup.

Miami (-110)
Jesus Luzardo: Over 6.5 Strikeouts (+112)

Yankees @ Angels

Luis Severino enters play with a 7.38 ERA. Mandatory Credit: Wendell Cruz-USA TODAY Sports

The Yankees and the Angels entered the post-All-Star break period with high hopes for dominant returns. Regrettably, both teams stumbled and lost their first series back, exacerbating the challenges they face. Now, one of them will lose their second series, which would plunge them even deeper into the hole they currently sit in.

While both teams are in need of a turnaround, the Angels are in a more desperate position, sitting six games behind a Wild Card spot. Despite receiving criticism for slipping into last place in the American League East, the Yankees maintain a respectable record, standing six games above .500 and a mere two games away from securing a Wild Card berth.

Both starters in this one are prone to surrender the long ball and give up more than a few runs. Severino will allow 6+ runs or pitch a shutout; there is little in between for him. Griffin Canning’s numbers aren’t nearly as extreme, but he has struggled with consistency. Not expecting great work out of either pitcher today; bettors should rhyme with the over.

Full Game: Over 9 Runs (-110)
Griffin Canning: Over 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (+125)

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