MLB Best Bets – The New Red Machine

Reds @ Brewers

The Cincinnati Reds are the new darling of Major League Baseball. Fans needed a new underdog to root for after the Padres suffered a dramatic fall from grace. At the start of the season, the Orioles appeared as a front-runner for that position, but they lacked the necessary flash for fans to fawn over.

Elly De La Cruz and the Reds high power offense have risen as a favorite, capturing our attention while creating a more powerful Big Red Machine.

Cincinnati has won five games in a row to create a two-game lead in the National League Central. They will attempt to increase their hold of the division in Milwaukee this weekend. This is their chance to cement themselves as a contender in the National League.

We have a tremendous first game as rookie phenom Andrew Abbott will face off against 2021 Cy Young winner Corbin Burnes.

Abbott made his major league debut last month against the Brewers; he pitched six innings, allowing one hit and zero runs. It’s hard to imagine him replicating those numbers, but based on what we have seen from him, it would be unwise to bet against him.

Andrew Abbott: Under 4.5 Hits Allowed (+105)

Corbin Burnes has struggled with consistency this year, and looking at recent data, there is no reason to consider betting against the Reds. Across the majors, Cincinnati is fifth in runs scored, and Milwaukee is 17th in runs allowed.

Worse than that, the Reds are coming off a series where they scored twenty-five runs, and the Brewers just allowed twenty-two.

First Five: Cincinnati (+112)
Full Game: Cincinnati (+100)

Braves @ Rays

Charlie Morton has allowed 23 total runs over his last ten starts. Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

Despite the rapid rise of the Reds as a formidable force in the National League, they still find themselves playing the role of David against the Goliath in Atlanta.

The Braves have the best record in baseball, and this weekend they kick off a series against the top dog in the American League. Tampa Bay enters play with one less win than Atlanta.

Starting in tonight’s battle is Charlie Morton and Tyler Glasnow.

Glasnow has shown tremendous talent throughout the years, but injuries have kept him from becoming a household name. This is his ninth year in the league, but he’s never started more than 14 games in a season. He’s making his eighth start tonight. Had he not had a late start to the season, he would be a contender for AL Cy Young.

On the other side is Charlie Morton, who continues to be the perfect example of consistency. Morton has a 3.71 ERA through fourteen starts, and he had three shutout performances within his last nine appearances. Morton goes out every five days, does his thing, and trusts the heavy bats around him to take care of the rest.

This is another bet where you follow the heat. The Braves have won 18 of their last twenty, and the Rays have lost five in a row. Tampa Bay is an incredible team, but the smart money will be on Atlanta tonight. 

Charlie Morton: Under 2.5 Runs Allowed (-110)
Atlanta (-104)

 

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